I'm sorry, DealBook. I'm not buying it.
The New York Times' popular deal blog is going over the calamitous situation at Nokia
"We poured gasoline on our own burning platform," CEO Stephen Elop writes in a self-scorching company memo that was leaked this week. "Nokia, our platform is burning."
DealBook goes over a few possible acquisition possibilities for the Finnish handset maker to regain its mojo, as well as a few assets it could unload to either extend its shopping spree or simply prop up shareholder value.
Then we get to Microsoft
"There is also the prospect that -- at some point -- Microsoft could try to acquire Nokia," DealBook's Evelyn Rusli writes.
She alludes to buyout talks that the two meandering giants had last year, according to someone "close" to Nokia. I believe that the two companies may have had exploratory talks last year, but there's no way that they're hooking up now.
What would this accomplish exactly?
Elop's memo concedes that Apple
Nokia still commands 32% of the global handset market, but that's largely the old-school phones for folks around the world who can't afford smartphones. Nokia and likely Microsoft are too late for the next wave.
Microsoft is a software company. What would it want in a manufacturing intensive Nokia?
Research In Motion
"I'm fairly certain they have a standing offer to buy them at $50 (a share)," Canaccord Adams analyst Peter Misek told Reuters about Microsoft snapping up RIM three years ago. The BlackBerry maker went on to dip well below the $50 mark, but a prudish Microsoft never whipped out an engagement ring.
Why would Microsoft buy Nokia when it never proposed to RIM?
RIM has 55 million active BlackBerry owners on its rolls, and growing. RIM's revenue climbed 40% in its latest quarter. Nokia's top inched a mere 6% higher. RIM's net margins are four times greater than what Nokia's low-margin endeavors produce. Both RIM and Nokia command enterprise values in the $31 billion to $35 billion range. If you're Microsoft, why would you take Nokia over the more logical fit in RIM? A software partnership -- as Bloomberg is reporting may be in the works this morning -- makes sense. A complete combination would be a head-scratching travesty.
It doesn't make sense, and I'm not even arguing for Mr. Softy to shack up with RIM. I'm just bringing it up because Microsoft and Nokia go together about as well as Mel Gibson and Lindsay Lohan. They may be out of favor these days, but it's no reason to force them into a loveless marriage.
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