WWE Isn't Down for the Count Just Yet

I'll be honest: I don't get fired up to listen to conference calls like some market junkies I know. Don't get me wrong, it is an essential part of the job, and a venue to get some valuable nuggets of information that less studious investors miss. It's just the majority of these calls are pretty boring, and they're more of an opportunity for analysts to get some face time.

However, there is always one call that gets me fired up just because of the surreality of it. It usually starts like this, "At this time, it's my privilege to turn this call over to Vince." That would be Vince McMahon, the wrestler and CEO of the world's largest professional wrestling company, World Wrestling Entertainment (NYSE: WWE  ) . If you play his personal ring entrance music in the background, it is an even more fun experience. I almost expect him to challenge overeager analysts to a steel-cage match if he doesn't like a question.

Unfortunately for WWE investors, all of the fun has been body-slammed out of the stock over the past several weeks. WWE reported its fourth-quarter results yesterday, but investors already knew results would be terrible after the company issued a warning in January that earnings would be $0.08 to $0.10, while analysts were expecting $0.16 per share.

The stock was pummeled as investors worried that the company may have to cut its massive dividend, but the company announced this week that it would maintain its $0.36 per share dividend for now. The dividend is currently yielding 12%, and McMahon said it is reviewed on a quarterly basis. Even though McMahon has proven his commitment to maintaining the dividend by taking cuts to his own and other insiders in the past, future decisions will really boil down to the company's ability to boost growth. While the environment is still tough, it appears WWE may be on track to do just that.

Opportunity abroad
There certainly was a lot to dislike about WWE's most recent quarter. Revenue at its core live events was down due mainly to a 15% decline in attendance in the U.S., and even more disappointing was a 12% decline in international attendance. An 11% increase in the price of tickets helped offset some of the empty seats, but it showed a lack of demand for the product. Pay-per-view revenue also fell 15% as customers didn't appear to trade in the trip to the arena for the opportunity to watch WWE's prime events.

While these revenue declines are troubling, WWE is beginning to make some progress on what I believe will be its key growth initiatives. Even with attendance down at international events this quarter, the company has been focusing on growing total revenue in what it calls its "red market," consisting of China, Mexico, India, and Turkey. In these countries, overall revenues increased 75%, led mainly by toy sales and greater television rights fees. WWE's sales of action figures and other toys have improved significantly since ending its partnership with Jakks Pacific (Nasdaq: JAKK  ) and upgrading its line with toy-making leader Mattel (Nasdaq: MAT  ) .  Overall toy sales were up 162% for the quarter and by 113% for the company's full year.

WWE had its first-ever show in China last year and sold out the venue in less than an hour. It also has recently completed television distribution deals in Russia and Brazil, giving WWE a large audience in all of the emerging BRIC countries.

The network
McMahon has also been pushing the idea of having his own television network for a while now, but the company has finally taken some steps in this direction; WWE TV is expected to launch later this summer. McMahon says the company recently talked with Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) , and it also has meetings set up with Time Warner (NYSE: TWX  ) and DirecTV (Nasdaq: DTV  ) . WWE already has a relationship with Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA  ) as a result of its recent acquisition of NBC Universal, of which WWE has been partners with for years.

McMahon doesn't plan on moving WWE's core programming to this network, but instead he plans on using it much life the NFL does with its own network. It will serve as a great marketing tool for its core programming as well as new programming, at a very low cost because of its existing production efficiencies. According to McMahon, "if things happen as we hope, it will be a really big game-changer. There is huge opportunity as it relates to domestically and internationally. We are pursuing that and taking the next steps."

The future
WWE's quarter was certainly a blow to shareholders that has put the company's dividend at risk. However, I wouldn't be so quick to count Vince McMahon and his team out yet. Consumers have a lot more entertainment options today than they did in WWE's glory days, but the company's audience will continue to grow significantly as it expands abroad. Caution is warranted for the dividend hounds, but WWE's days of growth may not be numbered just yet.

Andrew Bond owns no shares in the companies listed. You can follow Andrew on Twitter @Bond0 or on his RSS feed. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 11, 2011, at 10:56 PM, esxokm wrote:

    I think the big angle to WWE's future growth lies in its film business. Unfortunately, the company has encountered many clumsy missteps in its execution of the studio segment.

    In terms of the dividend, that has to be cut. Check the cash flows. And again, keep in mind that some of the cash-flow pressure has been due to the movie investments.

  • Report this Comment On February 15, 2011, at 12:00 AM, jerkman29 wrote:

    will the Great One's return tonight and impending hosting stint at Wrestlemania give the numbers a temporary boost? nobody watches his movies but people seem to pay attention when he's in the ring.

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