I'm being followed. By a beer company.
A few weeks ago, I came across the Craft Brewers Alliance
Still, I wasn't immediately interested in owning the stock. Though its brands are gaining in popularity, the company is a micro-cap, with a value south of $200 million. And what analyst coverage the company does receive mostly involves people thinking it's overvalued. According to its most recent quarterly report, Craft Brewers Alliance only had $13,000 in cash and equivalents and a current ratio below 0.9. Not the most reassuring numbers...
At the beck and call of Bud and Beck's
What's more, the company is at the beck and call of Anheuser-Busch InBev
Craft Brewers Alliance also has a deal to use Anheuser-Busch InBev's distribution system (which is a good thing, giving the smaller company nationwide distribution), but Anheuser-Busch InBev generates quite a bit of fees from this. And as Anheuser-Busch InBev offers this option to more and more craft brewers, what once might have been the craft niche's serious advantage in this highly competitive market will erode.
I'm not just a fan of the craft-brew category. I'm also convinced of its long-term consumer appeal and huge potential for growth. Craft beer is really beginning to catch on, and not just among my own Whole-Foods-obsessed, vegan-shoe-wearing, often-tiresomely sanctimonious-about-what-they-consume yuppie crowd.
According to the Craft Brewers Alliance's last annual report, "Shipments of craft beer in the United States in 2009 are estimated by industry sources to have increased by approximately 7.2% over 2008 shipments, up from a 5.9% shipment increase for 2008 from 2007. The growth rate of the craft beer segment ran counter to the activity in every other segment of the beer industry." Long term, this popularity bodes well for Craft Brewers Alliance, its mission and its bottom line.
Sure, you might not hold up Craft Brewers Alliance as a pillar of financial strength right now. But the company is free cash flow-positive -- not bad for a fairly small business.
Now the part about me being followed
Furthermore, I keep seeing Craft Brewers Alliance brands everywhere I go. A weekend or two ago, at a sports bar, I found the place had Long Hammer IPA on draft (delicious but strong -- watch that 6.5% ABV). Then at Safeway, shopping for Super Bowl snacks, I saw Craft Brewers's brands in three different places along the beer aisle. On game day, a friend brought over a six-pack of -- what else? -- Widmer Hefeweizen, another of the company's beers.
"HOOK is stalking you," said my husband.
"Or I'm stalking it," I said.
But I can't be the only one having this experience, right? Isn't this little beer company becoming ubiquitous? I believe it is, which is why I've finally bought some of its stock. In for an excellent hefeweizen, in for some shares. Watch this space.