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What the Market Taught Me This Week

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What a week for the stock market! We saw just how fast we can go from greed to fear when the ground trembles and a wall of water flows over an economic power a half world away. The 10% Promise Team has been trying to decipher what all of these moves mean, but no matter how you dice it, this week was all about Japan.

A meltdown isn't good for anyone, or is it?
It was no surprise when we saw nuclear stocks tumble early this week as news about Japan's nuclear plants affected by the earthquake and tsunami got worse by the day. USEC (NYSE: USU  ) led the way, plunging twice this week, and engineering and construction firm Shaw (NYSE: SHAW  ) followed a similar path as investors questioned the future of its projects.

But investors are betting that EnergySolutions (NYSE: ES  ) and Landauer (NYSE: LDR  ) will pick up business in Japan when the nuclear cleanup begins. There are always opportunities in investing no matter how bad a situation looks, and these two companies have a chance to turn a terrible situation into dollar signs for investors.

Tsunamis + nuclear meltdown = rising solar stocks?
What intrigued me most was the speculation outside of the nuclear sector that ensued throughout the week. Solar stocks were the biggest beneficiaries in the energy industry. JinkoSolar (NYSE: JKS  ) , SunPower (Nasdaq: SPWRA  ) , and Trina Solar (NYSE: TSL  ) all jumped this week on speculation that new pressure on the nuclear industry would be good for solar manufacturers.

We may be taking a bigger leap than even a solar booster would be comfortable with by assuming Japan's disaster is good for solar. Yes, in the long term this may change the political discussion, but we're making a lot of assumptions pushing solar stocks 10% higher in the short term. Japan is a supplier to the market, and if any economic slowdown ensues as a result of this disaster, it would likely hurt solar. I think this is more of a wash for the sector in the short term, but that's just one Fool's opinion.

Do I know more today than I did a week ago?
My biggest lesson this week is I know even less about the future of nuclear energy than I did seven days ago. I can't find a positive way to spin Japan's nuclear disaster for nuclear stocks, but the big question is if it will change how we look at nuclear in the U.S., Europe, and emerging economies like Russia. Once we answer that we may be able to speculate what it means for other energy sources like coal, natural gas, and solar. But until then I don't know if nuclear is dead in the water or still moving forward.

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More Interesting Moves This Week:

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Fool contributor Travis Hoium owns shares of SunPower. You can follow Travis on Twitter at @FlushDrawFool, check out his personal stock holdings or follow his CAPS picks at TMFFlushDraw.

The Fool owns shares of EnergySolutions and SunPower. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 19, 2011, at 5:57 AM, rudeman2k wrote:

    I've not been investing long but I saw something with BP and the off shore drillers, and now I've seen it again with nuclear stocks.

    What I've learned is that the market is a panic attack waiting to happen. At the first sign of a disaster many investors flee a business or even a sector at all costs as fast as they can.

    To sum it up, I learned this week that there is easy money to be made occasionally for an oppurtunistic investor.

  • Report this Comment On March 20, 2011, at 2:06 PM, haryyndf wrote:

    For the time being nothing positive will come of the issues at the nuclear power plant in Japan. The media and the public around the world are in total panic mode thanks to the issue regularly being compared to the Chernobyl accident and lack of knowledge on the subject.

    Honestly, I can hope that once the issue has been resolved people can look forward and determine that most of the older reactors, like the one in Japan, need to be replaced and eventually closed. The reactor at Fukushima Daiichi is a first generation build we are around the third or fourth generation now. New nuclear power plants need to be built to replace the old and to further remove our dependence on fissile fuels.

  • Report this Comment On March 20, 2011, at 11:49 PM, sailrick wrote:

    The U.S. has 24 reactors of the same design as Fukishima.

    What concerns me about nuclear is human error, which includes siting issues, and underestimating what can go wrong. Storage of used fuel rods in those water pools is a sign of underestimating what can go wrong.

    In order for nuclear to be safe, worst case scenario natural disasters have to be included in the planning. It may be comforting to think that events like the 9.0 magnitude quake in Japan are rare.

    But, we've had four earthquakes of 9 magnitude or higher, in 51 years. Alaska 1964, the Indonesian quake and tsunami that killed a quarter million people, the great Chilean earthquake in 1960 at 9.5 magnitude, and now Japan. And earthquakes of 8-8.9 magnitude occur once a year on average.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richter_magnitude_scale

    If this can happen in one of the world's most technologically advanced and richest countries and one of the most politically stable countries, what will happen when less reliable regimes all over the world have embraced the 'brave new world' of a nuclear renaissance?

    If new nuclear reactors are built, more care has to go into planning.

    What happened in Japan is called Station Black Out - the loss of AC electrical power from the grid; power needed to run the cooling pumps. The tsunami knocked out diesel backup pumps, leaving the batteries as the only backup.

    The Fukishima nuclear plant had 8 hours of battery backup for the cooling pumps.

    We are now a week into the disaster in Japan.

    In the U.S., there are 93 nuclear power plants with only 4 hours battery backup. The NRC only requires nuclear plants to have enough battery backup for a 4-8 hour situation.

    Station blackout is one of the most likely causes of a nuclear accidents, according to the NRC

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