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Stock car racing doesn't exactly work like you saw it in Days of Thunder, and investing doesn't always go as planned. Just ask shareholders of International Speedway (Nasdaq: ISCA  ) , who have endured nine consecutive quarters of declining profits prior to the company's first-quarter report last week.

The company, which owns 13 of the U.S.' most well-known race tracks including Daytona and Talladega, delivered a $0.49 profit on revenue of $148.7 million. This was the first year-over-year earnings increase since 2008, but revenue still fell by 2%. International Speedway also authorized an annual dividend increase to $0.18 per share the following day.

While this company may have all the markings of a turnaround story in progress -- which is undoubtedly what attracted the Motley Fool Inside Value analysts -- I'd advise you take a closer look at what's really behind their figures.

Flat tire
In order to get on the fast track, International Speedway relies on media and consumer interest in its racing venues to drive business. Unfortunately, the Nielsen ratings for the Daytona 500, which measure household viewership, have fallen off a cliff since 2006 -- down by more than 25%. Daytona is easily International Speedway's most profitable and important racetrack, so this trend is worrisome.

From a broader perspective, NASCAR ratings have taken a hit for better part of a decade, translating into weaker ticket sales. Until NASCAR can garner more interest, it's likely that ticket sales will remain weak. One needs to only look at rival Speedway Motorsports (NYSE: TRK  ) for confirmation of this. Speedway, which owns eight popular racetracks, has seen its revenue decline since 2008 and is suffering from the same decline in motorsports interest as International Speedway.

Don't discount the impact that rising fuel costs can have on consumers either. As oil continues its march past $112/barrel, the discretionary income of Americans is shrinking. It's much more likely that race enthusiasts are going to choose to stay home and watch the race on TV than spend a shrinking amount of their income on traveling to see a race.

Finally, don't be lured in by International Speedway raising its annual dividend by $0.02. The stock yields less than 0.6% with the new dividend, and I can't say it's prudent of management to be raising the dividend in the midst of a continuingly weakening revenue stream.

Instead, consider Madison Square Garden (Nasdaq: MSG  ) if the prospect of investing in sporting events is too great to resist. The company has increased revenue for five consecutive years and is a favorite of Fool analyst Bryan White.

What's your take on these fast-paced companies? Is momentum on their side or are they about to hit a brick wall? Share your thoughts in the comments section below and consider adding these stocks and your own personalized portfolio of companies to My Watchlist.

Add International Speedway, Speedway Motorsports, and Madison Square Garden to My Watchlist.

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Fool contributor Sean Williams has no material interest in any companies mentioned in this article. He would like to remind you not to forget about our friends in Japan who could still use a helping hand. You can follow him on CAPS under the screen name TMFUltraLong. International Speedway is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. The Fool owns shares of Madison Square Garden. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy that has no speed limits.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 11, 2011, at 10:01 PM, TMFJoeInvestor wrote:

    Hey Sean,

    We liked International Speedway a lot more back when we recommended it at $23.49 several months back. Today's price of around $31 is within a couple of bucks of our estimate of intrinsic value, so I'd agree that today isn't a good opportunity to add to the stock.

    That said, while I think the shares are close to fairly valued, they're hardly going to "crash" anyone's portfolio. The company itself has a great portfolio of unique assets, consistently strong free cash flow courtesy of its TV contract, and a base of fans that will prove late-bloomers in this recovery. And, while TV ratings are off from several years ago, ratings are actually meaningfully up in this year's Sprint Cup season.

    Like I said, I wouldn't recommend adding to positions at this time, but I did want to chime in and say that this isn't an extreme or high-risk situation as this headline implies.

    Foolishly,

    Joe

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
ISCA $23.45 Up +0.05 +0.21%
International Spee… CAPS Rating: ***
TRK $16.43 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Speedway Motorspor… CAPS Rating: *
MSG $36.85 Down -0.49 -1.31%
Madison Square Gar… CAPS Rating: ***

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