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What Will Google Buy Next?

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It took a bumpy nine-month gestation period, but Google (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) finally got its dot-com baby.

Regulators cleared the search giant's $700 million acquisition of travel data specialist ITA Software on Friday, but it wasn't free of concessions. Facing resistance from travel portals that rely on ITA and envious search engine rivals, the Department of Justice set some pretty strict conditions to ease antitrust fears.

Google will be required to keep licensing its software to travel portals. Big G also conceded to internal firewalls and a regulator monitoring provision.

Why is Google bending so far for the right to play a larger role in the travel niche? I would argue that Google has even bigger acquisitive fish to fry in the coming months, and it was simply giving up some freedoms that were going to go away anyway if it aims higher.

Finding the next Groupon
When Groupon walked away from an alleged $6 billion buyout offer from Google -- a deal that seemed too good to be true back in December -- it was reported that the deal breaker was demands for a lofty termination fee. Groupon felt the deal wouldn't clear regulatory hurdles, and Google must've been unsure, too, if it wasn't willing to meet the social-coupon site's breakup provision.

However, Google's concessions this time around may very well address concerns that may come up in future acquisitions. In short, Google's giving itself a hall pass.

It may be too late for Groupon. The flash sale phenom is barreling toward a likely IPO in the next year or two. Facebook and Twitter are also unlikely to entertain any buyout offers, since history has vindicated earlier head shakings.

This doesn't mean Google is going to rest its laurels on organic growth. It has $35 billion sitting in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, with little intention of returning that greenery to shareholders through dividends or massive share repurchases.

Investors also need an acquisitive spark. Analysts see earnings growing in the midteens during the next two years, a far cry from its earlier speedster days.

Diving into Big G's shopping list
Google has quietly gobbled up small companies like a PacMan arcade game with a blown speaker, but it hasn't shied away from the big deal. It had no problem shelling out nine-and 10-figure deals when it wanted DoubleClick, YouTube, and now ITA.

I took a look at a few small companies that would look good on Google's arm last year. Here are a few public companies with meatier market caps that would make synergistic sense for Google.

  • AOL (NYSE: AOL  ) -- Things haven't been going well for AOL lately. Ad revenue, access subscribers, revenue, and profitability have all been roughed up in recent quarters. However, AOL comes at a cheap price tag relative to its gargantuan traffic volume. AOL's display advertising strength is a plus. Its Groupon-like Wow.com site would also give Google more skin in the lucrative prepaid voucher space.
  • OpenTable (Nasdaq: OPEN  ) -- Google's mandate to get socially stickier in 2011 is going to need a local push, and it's hard to ignore the allure of the undisputed champ of Web-based restaurant reservations. Revenue and adjusted earnings soared 61% and 143%, respectively, in its last quarter. OpenTable isn't cheap. Shares have popped fivefold since going public two years ago. However, it makes sense if Google can't grab Yelp.
  • Travelzoo (Nasdaq: TZOO  ) -- If ITA is a meaty appetizer, Travelzoo would make an ideal dessert. Travelzoo is the travel deals publisher behind its namesake weekly email of 20 sponsored getaway bargains that goes out to 18.9 million willing recipients. Travelzoo and OpenTable have seen their shares take off since introducing Groupon-esque vouchers in their respective areas of specialty. Travelzoo also isn't cheap, but Google is going to have to pay up if it wants high-octane growth stocks.
  • IAC (Nasdaq: IACI  ) -- Barry Diller's portfolio is loaded with dozens of magnetic websites. Antitrust watch dogs would likely require Google to dump Ask.com and video-sharing website Vimeo given Big G's dominance in those areas, but at least it could make sure that it doesn't fall into Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) hands. Google would be able to cash in on home services lead generator ServiceMagic, city guide Citysearch, and dating website Match.com. It could also populate YouTube with proprietary content through College Humor and give social gaming another go through Zwinky. 

There's a world of acquisitive opportunities out there for Google, and that's before exploring dynamic buyouts overseas.

Get going, Google. The clock's a-tickin'.

Who do you think Google will buy next? Share your thoughts in the comment box below.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Google and Microsoft are Motley Fool Inside Value recommendations. Google and OpenTable are Motley Fool Rule Breakers picks. Motley Fool Options has recommended a diagonal call position on Microsoft. The Fool owns shares of Google, and Microsoft. Motley Fool Alpha LLC owns shares of Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz still uses Google a lot in his daily life. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 11, 2011, at 10:45 AM, Gerlitz wrote:

    I think LinkedIn completes Google more than any other company. Business focused social media. Just change GoogleBuzz to GoogleLink and it's all over.

  • Report this Comment On April 11, 2011, at 11:28 AM, brazil83 wrote:

    Why would Google buy OpenTable?

    Google seems more likely to commoditize the market (offer reservations for free) like Google did with Android vs iOS and Google Apps vs Microsoft Office.

    Google wants an inclusive system so they can organize the social event - not an exclusive list of high-end restaurants - the only ones that can afford OT's exorbitant fees.

    OT charges $2 per head per reservation (when you add monthly and install) and OT has less restaurant traffic than Google. So if you are a restaurant owner, where would you list your tables? In addition, OT tries to take the customer relationship away from the restaurant. Do you think this inspires loyalty?

    Google does not need to buy the customer database from OT for billions ($160,000 per database entry) as you suggest, it will take it.

    The geniuses at ITA Software will design a simple web based portal that restaurant mgrs can simply enter their tables/seats and time slots....or Google can pay OT $160K per entry...hmm.

    If Google did buy OT, what else would they get beside the database? Some software for running the front-of-house at a restaurant? That several other companies have done just as well or not better? Why would Google get into the restaurant s/w business?

    In your scenario, Google would take OT's position as a monopoly selling reservations. To get approval for the ITA deal, Google promised the DOJ they would not sell reservations in the airline business. Do you see a parallel?

    Google seems to be doing just fine in their attempt to organize the world as the central information broker...and selling some AdWords on the side.

    Rather than trying to be a matchmaker and throw out names just because they are in a sector, how about some business logic and analysis??

  • Report this Comment On April 12, 2011, at 12:37 PM, mikejones011 wrote:

    I think Google is going to buy Local.com (LOCM). Makes a lot of sense with their coupon,groupon like business up & running, and $90 million revenues, yet current market cap is only $79 million for LOCM, while TZOO is trading over $1 billion valuation on $115million revs.

    LOCM is dirt cheap and Google could buy it out easily. makes a lot of sense.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
GOOG $591.53 Down -12.13 -2.01%
Google CAPS Rating: ****
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TZOO $23.47 Up +0.52 +2.27%
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Microsoft Corp CAPS Rating: ****
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