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7 Reasons to Worry About Next Week

Things are getting a little crazy out there.

Did you hear about the barely profitable social network that temporarily graduated to an 11-figure market cap yesterday?

Those aren't the only gains that are marginally justified. Several stocks have scored reasonable gains despite their profitable shortcomings.

There are still plenty of companies posting lower earnings than they did a year ago. Let's go over a few of the names that are expected to go the wrong way on the bottom line next week.

Company

Latest Quarter EPS (Estimated)

Year-Ago Quarter EPS

My Watchlist

Take-Two (Nasdaq: TTWO  ) ($0.41) $0.34 Add
Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB  ) $0.52 $0.54 Add
Marvell Tech (Nasdaq: MRVL  ) $0.30 $0.38 Add
Hanwha SolarOne (Nasdaq: HSOL  ) $0.29 $0.35 Add
American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO  ) $0.15 $0.17 Add
Perfect World (Nasdaq: PWRD  ) $0.55 $0.84 Add
TiVo (Nasdaq: TIVO  ) ($0.31) ($0.13) Add

Source: Thomson Reuters.

Clearing the table
There will likely be more companies posting lower earnings next week, but these are just a few of the names that really jump out at me.

Let's start with Take-Two Interactive. The video game company is generating rave reviews for its upcoming L.A. Noire that tips its hat to the film noir cinematic genre. Take-Two used to be a one-trick pony, struggling during the lulls between Grand Theft Auto releases. It has gone on to flesh out its catalog with the success of BioShock and Red Dead Redemption.

The current quarter will look great if L.A. Noire is the hit that critics believe it will be, but the same can't be said for the quarter it left behind. The pros see red -- as in red ink -- reversing a year ago profit.

Campbell Soup's earnings growth isn't as "M'm M'm Good" as its namesake soups.

"Wasn't soup supposed to be recession-proof?" I asked when the food giant hosed down its guidance six months ago. "Campbell sells affordable comfort food, so either consumer tastes are changing or the competitive environment has gotten so cutthroat that even the mighty Campbell is seeing stars -- and not the variety that come packaged with broth and tiny chunks of chicken."

Things don't appear to be getting any better.

Marvell Technology is an integrated circuits giant. This is a cyclical specialty, but it's still not encouraging to see projected quarterly earnings take a 21% year-over-year dip next week.

Hanwha SolarOne is a Chinese maker of solar energy cells. There are plenty of bargains in this space with single-digit P/E ratios. Hanwha is one of them, but what does it tell you when its trailing multiple is lower than its forward multiple? Yes, earnings are going the wrong way.

American Eagle Outfitters is an apparel retailing staple in many suburban shopping malls. There are several clothing stores that are bouncing back lately, but American Eagle is not one of them.

The first three Chinese online gaming companies to post their first quarter results clocked in with better-than-expected growth in recent days. Perfect World is the fourth publicly traded gamer to step up, but it's looking at a sharp drop in net income.

Finally, we have TiVo. Despite being the only brand that matters when it comes to DVR technology, TiVo keeps shedding subscribers. Profits turned to losses a couple of years ago, and now those losses are widening.

Why the long face, short-seller?
These seven companies have seen better days. The market has rewarded many of these stocks with reasonable gains over the past year, but they still haven't earned those upticks.

The good news here is that Wall Street already expects these companies to deliver shrinking bottom lines. In other words, the bad news is already baked into the shares.

The more I think about it, the less worried I become.

Take the Motley Poll

Which way do you think the market will go next week?

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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The Motley Fool owns shares of Take-Two Interactive and Marvell Technology. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended Take-Two Interactive. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz wonders if his contrarian heart will ever be happy. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.


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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:03 PM
CPB $32.58 Up +0.02 +0.06%
Campbell Soup Comp… CAPS Rating: ****
PWRD $11.18 Down -0.15 -1.32%
Perfect World CAPS Rating: **
TIVO $9.17 Down -0.03 -0.33%
TiVo CAPS Rating: *
TTWO $11.56 Up +0.05 +0.43%
Take-Two Interacti… CAPS Rating: *****
AEO $19.99 Up +0.39 +1.99%
American Eagle Out… CAPS Rating: ***
HSOL $0.95 Up +0.01 +1.06%
Hanwha SolarOne Co… CAPS Rating: *
MRVL $13.07 Up +0.21 +1.63%
Marvell Technology… CAPS Rating: ****

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