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HEICO Corp. Popped: What You Need to Know

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Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of aerospace supplier HEICO Corp. (NYSE: HEI  ) -- motto: "No, not the company with the talking lizard" -- popped 11% this morning.

So what: Second-quarter earnings were the catalyst, with profits up 34% year over year, exceeding Wall Street estimates and leading to a bump in guidance for the year.

Now what: Good news? No doubt. And surprising news, too. Traders had placed short bets against more than 30% of the company's float going into earnings. I suspect there's quite a bit of short covering going on right now, and that this is contributing to the shares' surge to an all-time high.

Once the covering ends, HEICO bears will doubtless tell us that at 35 times earnings, the stock's an even safer short-bet now. Don't believe it. According to its cash flow statement, HEICO generated more than $104 million in free cash flow over the past 12 months -- 61% better than reported as "net income" under GAAP. While the resulting price-to-free cash flow ratio of 22 looks a little pricey relative to consensus growth prospects, this stock's not nearly as expensive as it looks. And not nearly as safe a short as its critics believe.

Bears vs. bulls -- who will carry the day? Add HEICO to your watchlist and find out.

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Fool contributor Rich Smith holds no position in any company mentioned. Click here to see his holdings and a short bio. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:03 PM
HEI $41.80 Down +0.00 +0.00%
HEICO Corp CAPS Rating: ****

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