VirnetX Holding Shares Popped: What You Need to Know

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of communications security specialist VirnetX Holding (AMEX: VHC  ) let their actions do the talking today, rising as much as 12.1% on heavy volume.

So what: Analyst firm Cowen & Co. just started following VirnetX with a "buy" rating and a price target more than 40% above last night's closing price. Cowen sees the company collecting handsome paychecks as LTE networks become commonplace, catapulting VirnetX out of its current "pre-revenue" status.

Now what: Cowen basically equates VirnetX in the 4G era to the patent treasures of Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM  ) in the 3G age. That supposed stranglehold on key LTE patents would make VirnetX a takeover target or at the very least an absolute cash machine. Mind you, the stock has gained a staggering 1,700% over the past year and a half amid speculation on the value of its patents, and the courts still have to work out a few lawsuits to settle the matter. Depending on the final outcome in suits filed against Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) , Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO  ) , and many other tech titans, buying VirnetX today could be the best investment you ever made -- or akin to burning dollar bills on a bonfire.

Interested in more info on VirnetX Holding? Add it to your watchlist.

Fool contributor Anders Bylund holds no position in any of the companies discussed here. The Motley Fool owns shares of Qualcomm and Apple. The Fool has created a bull call spread position on Cisco Systems. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Apple and Cisco Systems, as well as creating a bull call spread position in Apple. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.


Read/Post Comments (3) | Recommend This Article (6)

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  • Report this Comment On May 27, 2011, at 3:17 PM, NewConstructs wrote:

    Putting money in VHC is closer to burning money than making money. Expectations in the stock price already assume something close to a best case scenario for future profits.

    For example, to justify a $26 stock price, the company has to grow revenues at 170% compounded annually for 10 years in a row. I don't think there is a public company in the history of the world that has done that.

    Expectations are already very high for this company. Investors should look for something a little cheaper.

    More details are here:

    http://blog.newconstructs.com/2011/04/12/no-security-in-virn...

  • Report this Comment On May 27, 2011, at 3:46 PM, duckduffer wrote:

    Classic...the NewConstructs guy is talking his book again. He's only down 15% from where he said he was going to go short. The guy doesn't understand the patent licensing business, thinks the whole model is based on lawsuits. Believe Cowan...they get it.

  • Report this Comment On May 30, 2011, at 7:53 AM, TMFZahrim wrote:

    Hey @elias2626, I'm not recommending VHC to anyone in this story. Cowen does and I have to report that market-moving fact. If there's a recommendation here, it's in pointing out the valuation risk that Cowen seems to ignore. To be blunt, I wouldn't touch this stock with anything but a volatility-loving options straddle today.

    Anders

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