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6 Reasons to Worry About Next Week

Did the market really close higher yesterday?

Phew! The S&P 500 had closed lower in each of the six trading days before Thursday's bounce. Six days may not seem like a lot, but it's the longest streak of daily dips in just over two years.

Then again, it's not as if every stock deserves to be treated like a winner.

There are still plenty of companies posting lower earnings than they did a year ago. Let's go over a few of the names that are expected to go the wrong way on the bottom line next week.

Company

Latest Quarter EPS (estimated)

Year-Ago Quarter EPS

My Watchlist

Agilysys (Nasdaq: AGYS  ) ($0.27) ($0.02) Add
Best Buy (NYSE: BBY  ) $0.33 $0.36 Add
Synutra International (Nasdaq: SYUT  ) ($0.18) $0.17 Add
School Specialty (Nasdaq: SCHS  ) ($0.97) ($0.73) Add
Winnebago (NYSE: WGO  ) $0.13 $0.21 Add
Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) $1.32 $1.38 Add

Source: Thomson Reuters.

Clearing the table
There will likely be more companies posting lower earnings next week, but these are just a few of the names that really jump out at me.

Let's start with Agilysys. The provider of enterprise solutions for the retail and hospitality industries hasn't been checking out lately. When it reports tomorrow, investors will probably be dealt its fourth quarterly deficit over the past five periods. Red ink isn't fatal, but the dramatically wider loss that the pros are expecting is problematic.

Best Buy has posted back-to-back quarters of dips in revenue, income, and store-level sales. The consumer electronics chain is now looking at strike three.

What happened to Best Buy? Wasn't it supposed to be the big winner when Circuit City liquidated two years ago? Unfortunately, shoppers continue to flock to cheaper e-tailers. It also doesn't help that a lot of the media that takes up so much of its floor space -- CDs, DVDs, books, and now video games -- are being delivered to growing numbers digitally.

Synutra is a leading maker of infant formula in China. Even given China's population-curbing practices, Synutra should be growing like many of the babies relying on its products. It's just not happening, though. Wall Street expects revenue to take a nearly 30% hit as a year-ago profit becomes a stiff quarterly loss.

School Specialty provides educators with supplemental learning products. This naturally isn't going to seem like much of a growth industry at a time when state budgets are tight. A wider loss during a seasonally soft quarter isn't going to take anybody by surprise, but did you know that School Specialty has missed analyst profit guesstimates in three of the past four quarters?

Winnebago is another company that isn't really a surprise to find on this list. Between pesky gasoline prices and a bruised housing market, who is going to spring for a new house on wheels? Well, at least it's profitable.

Finally, we have Research In Motion. We knew that this day would come. After years of heady growth, the bottom line is finally going the wrong way for the BlackBerry maker. The success of Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) iPhone and the handset-maker appeal of the open Android platform have set this smartphone pioneer adrift at sea -- unless it can right the ship.                                                                                                                        

Why the long face, short-seller?
These six companies have seen better days. The market has rewarded many of these stocks with reasonable gains over the past year, but they still haven't earned those upticks.

The good news here is that Wall Street already expects these companies to deliver shrinking bottom lines. In other words, the bad news is already baked into the shares.

The more I think about it, the less worried I become.

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Which way do you think the market will go next week?

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

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The Motley Fool owns shares of Best Buy and Apple. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Apple and Best Buy as well as creating a bull call spread position in Apple. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz wonders if his contrarian heart will ever be happy. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 12, 2011, at 10:09 PM, tshirtbert wrote:

    Gas/oil prices skyrocketed up just before the last market crash. They know where we are going that's why they get what they can before the downtrend. Gas and deisel don't fetch the big money in a double dip recession so they get it just ahead of the drought. Wish I could price gouge without getting into trouble. Oh I forgot they have a legit way of doing it with options and futures.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
RIMM $11.00 Up +0.29 +2.71%
Research In Motion… CAPS Rating: *
SCHS $3.05 Up +0.06 +2.01%
School Specialty,… CAPS Rating: *
SYUT $5.42 Up +0.29 +5.65%
Synutra Internatio… CAPS Rating: *
WGO $9.08 Up +0.01 +0.11%
Winnebago Industri… CAPS Rating: **
AAPL $562.29 Down -3.03 -0.54%
Apple CAPS Rating: ***
AGYS $7.19 Down -0.13 -1.78%
Agilysys, Inc. CAPS Rating: *
BBY $19.17 Up +0.35 +1.86%
Best Buy CAPS Rating: *

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