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A Solid Natural Gas Stock for the Long-Term Investor

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When a company engaged in the business of natural gas transmission expands into exploration and production, the resulting operations are typically strong. And this is exactly what Houston-based El Paso (NYSE: EP  ) has been up to. With further expansions planned in the E&P sector, things look exciting for the company's future.

Bright business plans
The company, which has more than 42,000 miles of interstate pipeline network, plans to expand its E&P operations by aiming to achieve an average daily production between 790 million cubic feet equivalent (Mmcfe) and 840 Mmcfe -- up from 782 Mmcfe in 2010 and 763 Mmcfe in 2009. In fact, El Paso expects $1.3 billion in capital expenditures during 2011 for further development of its Haynesville, Eagle Ford, Altamont, and Wolfcamp assets.

Past numbers
In general, past performance has been quite impressive. The company's compounded annual growth rate of EBIT, or operating income, over the past five years stands at 27.5%. Expanding operations has been a norm for this company, and this trend should continue for the foreseeable future.

El Paso's peers don't really compare. TransCanada (NYSE: TRP  ) , for instance, has a corresponding growth rate of 6.5%, Atmos Energy (NYSE: ATO  ) has 4.4%, while Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (NYSE: BWP  ) comes in with 15.1%.

A 10.5% return on equity for the company isn't too bad. However, the value, which stood at 21.7% a year before, has seen a sharp slide. This isn't surprising though since there has been a sharp rise in equity raised in the form of additional paid-in capital to fund El Paso's aggressive growth. A lower percentage might continue for some time since net earnings could stagnate till the expansion bears fruit.

How is the stock valued?
This is how El Paso stacks up against its peers:

Company

TEV/EBITDA

P/LTM EPS

Price/Book

Forward PEG

(1 year)

El Paso 10.0 18.1 4.0 7.2
TransCanada 12.6 22.2 1.8 NM
Atmos Energy 7.0 14.6 1.2 3.7

Anadarko Petroleum

(NYSE: APC  )

8.0 53.9 2.0 1.4
Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN  ) 7.5 20.6 1.7 1.8

Source: Capital IQ, a Standard & Poor's company.

El Paso's stock looks quite cheap when compared to its peers. However, its total enterprise value is on the higher side, thanks to total debt of $14 billion. But this should not be a problem since the company has leveraged itself for growth plans. An interest coverage ratio of 2.4 times should allay any fears regarding its short-term solvency.

One thing to note is that the book value of assets looks slightly overpriced since the company has yet to develop its assets in Eagle Ford and Haynesville fully. Once production increases, I expect the book value to go up, bringing down its price-to-book value. Short-term future growth does not look impressive either, for obvious reasons.

Foolish bottom line
With natural gas expected to grow in demand, El Paso will only stand to gain. As of now, the stock looks underpriced compared to its peers. While the short-term view may not look too promising, I believe this company has a long way to go. It seems that Mr. Market has yet to incorporate these factors in to the stock.

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Fool contributor Isac Simon does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned in this article.

The Motley Fool owns shares of Devon Energy and El Paso. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of TransCanada. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 27, 2011, at 1:52 PM, mm5525 wrote:

    I'm surprised you did not mention the recent news that EP is spinning off the e&p side of the company by the end of the year into a new, yet-to-be-named company, and the present-day EP will consist of largely the pipelines and have a $0.60 yearly dividend. Also, EP has a drop-down MLP in El Paso Pipeline Partners (EPB) where EP is obviously the general partner. EP has a gigantic natural gas pipeline system, I believe the largest in the entire United States. The spinning-off of the e&p side will make for far more stable and consistent earnings for EP, hence the planned dividend hike.

  • Report this Comment On June 28, 2011, at 12:35 AM, traintomonac wrote:

    When a company engaged in natural gas transmission expands into E&P, the resulting operations are typically strong.???

    EP has been engaged in both for over ten years, at least. The results haven't always been strong. Maybe now there will be some strength. Its about time.

  • Report this Comment On June 28, 2011, at 11:51 AM, TheGMaster wrote:

    You are not comparing Apples to Apples when comparing EP to ATMOS. ATMOS is a natural gas utility and EP is a pipeline company and an oil/gas exploration company. That is why ATMOS has a 4.5% dividend yield and EP has a very small one. I like both companies and own them both, but they are different animals.

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Related Tickers

12/31/1969 7:00 PM
EP $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
El Paso Corp CAPS Rating: ****
DVN $60.02 Down -0.41 -0.68%
Devon Energy Corp CAPS Rating: *****
TRP $41.22 Up +0.12 +0.29%
TransCanada CAPS Rating: *****
BWP $28.02 Up +0.39 +1.41%
Boardwalk Pipeline… CAPS Rating: *****
APC $63.08 Down -0.57 -0.90%
Anadarko Petroleum… CAPS Rating: ****
ATO $32.67 Down -0.24 -0.73%
Atmos Energy Corp CAPS Rating: *****

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