Huge Dividends From America's Energy Game Changer

Natural gas companies are selling gas to North American customers for peanuts when they could be getting much higher prices internationally. However, it is currently not possible to ship natural gas from the U.S. to the rest of the world. That will change over the next few years with the completion of multiple natural gas liquefaction plants. I've already revealed my secret to commodities investing and an alternative way invest in increased natural gas production. Read along, and I'll explain why liquefied natural gas, or LNG, is a game changer, how it will affect natural gas companies, and a dividend stock to profit from LNG's expansion.

NatGas!
In the past few years, new technologies and cheaper costs allowed producers to access gas trapped in parts of the U.S. previously considered unreachable. As more companies have tapped these unconventional plays, U.S. natural gas production has risen roughly 25% over the past five years, to 78 billion cubic feet per day, or Bcfd for short. Experts expect production to keep rising over the next 25 years, to 113 Bcfd by 2035.

Currently there is a rush to secure drilling leases in the U.S., which is keeping natural gas supply higher than demand. This has pushed down the price of natural gas to a very low $4.2/mcf, below many producers price of production. The low prices in the U.S. are a stark contrast to the rest of the world.

Source: World Bank Commodity Price Data (Pink Sheet).

So why don't U.S. companies just sell to Europe and Asia? To ship natural gas, you need to cool it to -260 degrees Fahrenheit so it becomes a liquid (hence the name, LNG) and can be safely transported. The problem is, while the U.S. has receiving terminals, we have no liquefying terminals. At a rough cost of $5/mcf to liquefy and transport to Asia, it formerly made no sense for North American producers to ship it, as they were better off selling gas on the continent.

International markets offer large long-term growth for the U.S. natural gas business. While Asian natural gas plays like InterOil's (NYSE: IOC  ) Elk and Antelope fields in Papua New Guinea will be able to meet some demand, Global LNG demand is expected to exceed supply under construction by 2017. So what's happening in the U.S.?

LNG in the U.S.
The only exporting plant in North America is ConocoPhillips' (NYSE: COP  ) Kenai LNG plant in Alaska. The plant is in the process of being shut down as natural gas supplies in the Cook Inlet basin area have been falling. The problem was recognized years ago, and a pipeline was considered to connect the area to the main North American pipeline network, but the investment was never made, so no out-of-area natural gas can be processed there.

In the U.S. there are two large projects in the works. Freeport LNG is owned by Michael Smith, ConocoPhillips, Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW  ) , and other partners. It is targeting a July 2015 start date and is expected to have a capacity of 1.4 Bcfd.

The project open to regular investors is Sabine Pass LNG owned by Cheniere Energy Partners (AMEX: CQP  ) with the general partner being Cheniere Energy (AMEX: LNG  ) . The company currently runs a 4.0 Bcfd receiving terminal with half its capacity contracted to Total and Chevron with Cheniere Energy, taking the rest for themselves. The company plans on building a 2.6 Bcfd liquefaction plant so it can both import and export LNG. Targeting a 2015 start date, Cheniere Energy's shares got a boost in May when the Department of Energy approved its application to export LNG.

So why is this a game changer?
Assuming roughly $5 to liquefy and ship, compared to selling natural gas to consumers in the U.S., 4 Bcfd of natural gas liquefied at Sabine Pass and Freeport LNG and sold in Asia at $14/mcf will allow natural gas producers to earn an extra $20 million a day, or $7 billion a year! This would made it possible for natural gas companies to thrive, compared to now, when they are selling gas below their cost of production in many cases.

Dividends!
While Cheniere Energy Partners pays a large dividend of 9.4%, there is a better way to invest in the growth in LNG and still reap large dividends. I'm talking about LNG shippers.

LNG shippers will profit from the growth in LNG no matter where it is, and unlike Cheniere Energy Partners, they are not dependent on one complicated project working out. The two you can invest in are Teekay LNG Partners LP (NYSE: TGP  ) and Golar LNG Ltd. (Nasdaq: GLNG  ) .

Golar LNG owns four floating storage and regasification ships (floating LNG receiving terminals), which are under contract till the end of the decade. The company also owns six LNG carriers. The stock has taken off this past year, rising some 300%, and as such, the company only yields 2.8%.

The stock I like is Teekay LNG. The company is a pure shipper, providing marine transportation for LNG and crude oil under long term contracts. Over the past five years, it has grown from four LNG carriers and five tankers to 21 LNG carriers, five LPG carriers, and 11 conventional oil tankers. The company is organized as an MLP and has increased its distributions at an 8% CAGR to $2.52 per share last year for a 6.7% yield. The company is well-positioned to grow with the LNG market, wherever that may be.

Foolish bottom line
Natural gas is changing the face of energy in North America. By investing in the suppliers to the boom, investors will best position themselves to profit without taking huge risks. If you're still looking for more ideas, check out The Motley Fool's free report, "The Only Energy Stock You'll Ever Need." In it, Fool analysts detail a company that will also benefit from the natural gas boom and pays a dividend. Click here to grab a copy.

Dan Dzombak's musings and articles he finds interesting can be found on his Twitter account: @DanDzombak.

Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Chevron and Total A.. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insightsmakes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Read/Post Comments (7) | Recommend This Article (93)

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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 07, 2011, at 10:10 PM, gesheddc wrote:

    ". . . new technologies and cheaper costs allowed producers to access gas trapped in parts of the U.S. previously considered unreachable . . . ." Would that be fracking? There is much controversy about this process; allegations that materials used in the fracking process have contaminated ground water in various part of the country, etc. See, e.g. Wikipedia article http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydraulic_fracturing

  • Report this Comment On July 07, 2011, at 10:46 PM, TMFDanDzombak wrote:

    Yes, fracking is one part of it. The other technology that has really revolutionized drilling is horizontal drilling. For a technical explanation on horizontal drilling see here:

    http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5961

    For a musical explanation on fracking and people's objections to it see this music video:

    http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2011/05/16/fracking-th...

  • Report this Comment On July 13, 2011, at 7:45 PM, mcapital2 wrote:

    good article

  • Report this Comment On July 15, 2011, at 12:03 PM, SkepticI wrote:

    Fracking has been used for more than 20 years. Its not new nor particularly novel. What is new - the controversy initiated by the same groups that always swamps newer technology when it becomes pervasive. (see wind, deep water drilling etc)

    MORE COGENT would be to point out the risks of LNG development and operation. They are VERY expensive projects to put up, take a long time to permit and event then draw more protests than fracking. And once up, they are extremely vulnerable to price disruptions because a great deal of their delivered cost is from OPERATING EXPENSES.

  • Report this Comment On July 15, 2011, at 6:36 PM, desertman3 wrote:

    After reading these recommendations the first thing that came to mind is the article in the New York Times, "Insiders Sound an Alarm Amid a Natural Gas Rush".

    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/26/us/26gas.html?_r=1&scp...

    Any one care to comment

  • Report this Comment On July 15, 2011, at 10:56 PM, samcwise wrote:

    I read the NY Times article. Not all of the shale plays are the same. The Eagle Ford in S. Texas and the Baaken in North Dakota have significant amounts of oil in addition to the nat. gas. I think Nat. gas makes sense as a transition fuel. If cars start using more it will take off. In the meantime I'm stuck with a nat. gas etf scraping the bottom.

  • Report this Comment On July 18, 2011, at 3:20 PM, trin6810 wrote:

    The industry wants everyone to believe that hydrofracking has been around for 40 years and thus "safe" Slick Hydraulic fracturing is relatively new (2005 - in earnest after Haliburton Loophole) there are no safe studies for this new process - when questioned - industry has no study proving its safe process - as for the original fracking - I've seen lab reports from fluids still leaking after 30 years and they aren't wonderful - just for info - old fracking 60,000 gallons of water - 1200 lbs of chemicals(list provided) - shallow verticle wells in NYS - one frack per well - DEC and EPA monitor - backup fluid sent to heavy metal wastewater treatment plants - Slick Hydraulic Fracturing - 4,000,000 gallons of water - 250,000 lbs of chemicals(no list of all chemicals used) - 6 fracks per well(with same amounts of water and chemicals as listed above per frack) deep wells much higher pressure and resulting increase of heavy metal material with backup fluids - throw in salt(10x sea water) and radioactivety from marcellus shale and you have the ultimnate witches brew - put that in Public Sewage Treatment Plants like our policticians wish to do in NYS and you wonder why we are complaining? Oh - and the 6,000 trailor tractor loads necessary for 1 - six well state of the art drilling pad(of which NYS may see 12,000) justs adds to our anger. We have 2 nukes in our backyard so don't say we haven't paid our price for energy

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