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Here's How Monsanto May Be Failing You

Margins matter. The more Monsanto (NYSE: MON  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why I check on my holdings' margins at least once a quarter. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, comparisons with sector peers and competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Monsanto's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Monsanto and some of its sector and industry peers and direct competitors.

Company

TTM Gross Margin

TTM Operating Margin

TTM Net Margin

Monsanto 51.7% 21.8% 13.6%
Air Products & Chemicals (NYSE: APD  ) 28.1% 16.6% 11.6%
DuPont (NYSE: DD  ) 28.3% 12.3% 9.9%
Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW  ) 16.1% 7.4% 4.5%

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Unfortunately, that table doesn't tell us much about where Monsanto has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months (TTM), the last fiscal year, and the last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Monsanto over the past few years.

anImage

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = . TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. To compare quarterly margins to their prior-year levels, consult this chart.

anImage

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Dollar amounts in millions. FQ = fiscal quarter.

Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 58.1% and averaged 52.4%. Operating margin peaked at 31.3% and averaged 22.2%. Net margin peaked at 18.0% and averaged 13.6%.
  • TTM gross margin is 51.7%, 70 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 21.8%, 40 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 13.6%, about the same as the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, Monsanto has some work to do.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual investors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the best returns in the stock market. Have an opinion on the margins at Monsanto? Let us know in the comments section below.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings. He is the co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended creating a synthetic long position in Monsanto. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 11, 2011, at 12:49 PM, kmne68 wrote:

    Thanks Jayson. I appreciate your analyses. I have a general question; where do you get your data? Do you use corporate websites, Yahoo or Google Finance, or some other source. I was just curious and wondered what sources you have found to be most accurate and/or easiest to use. Thanks.

  • Report this Comment On July 12, 2011, at 1:02 PM, Rat11 wrote:

    This analysis is very misleading. MON is just now emerging from two very challenging years brought on by a) a flood of generic glyphosate in 2009 and b) a miscalculation about the pricing power of one of their new seed products. MON adjusted their strategy, part of which was lowering price. Their results to date in 2011 indicate that their business has stabilized and their share in both markets is gaining again. There is still no question that MON is best of breed in Ag technology so reading too much into margins at this particular juncture is dangerous.

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