Recs

11

Is Thompson Creek Metals the Perfect Stock?

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Thompson Creek Metals (NYSE: TC  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Thompson Creek Metals.

Factor What We Want to See Actual Pass or Fail?
Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% 42.2% Pass
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% 59.5% Pass
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 49.9% Pass
  Net Margin > 15% 35.8% Pass
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 1.3% Pass
  Current Ratio > 1.3 4.00 Pass
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% 18.6% Pass
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 9.21 Pass
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 0.0% Fail
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% 0.0% Fail
       
  Total Score   8 out of 10

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's. Total score = number of passes.

With a score of 8, Thompson Creek Metals mines up a strong performance, lacking only a dividend to make shareholders perfectly happy. The miner has gone through some big ups and downs recently, but it is taking steps to solidify its status as an important stock in the sector.

Thompson primarily produces molybdenum, a metal that's important for steel production. With applications ranging from aircraft parts to rifle barrels, the metal plays a key role in several industries. That has made Thompson's stock highly correlated to the global economy, as shares have bounced as low as $3 and as high as $25 in recent years.

Last year, Thompson acquired Terrane Metals, adding exposure to gold and copper to its molybdenum base. That made it less like pure-play competitor General Moly (AMEX: GMO  ) and more like the diversified giant Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (NYSE: FCX  ) . But the deal, which included a gold-streaming arrangement with Royal Gold (Nasdaq: RGLD  ) , helped boost capital to allow a mine expansion. And with faster growth than Freeport, Thompson looks like the better play right now.

Perhaps what's most amazing about Thompson is that despite its presence in the hot metals sector, it carries a rock-bottom valuation. Even large, slower-growth miners Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM  ) and Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX  ) have earnings multiples much higher than Thompson's.

Mining is a volatile sector. But by making the right strategic moves at the right time, Thompson has gotten close to perfection. That's worth a closer look for any investor who's willing to accept the risk of commodities-based stocks.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Add Thompson Creek Metals to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Finding the perfect stock is only one piece of a successful investment strategy. Get the big picture by taking a look at our "13 Steps to Investing Foolishly."

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 11, 2011, at 12:23 PM, NumbersDontLie wrote:

    Such a glowing analysis of TC, yet "Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned in this article"? Perhaps you are waiting on "the right time"?

  • Report this Comment On July 29, 2011, at 9:24 AM, prucarson wrote:

    Great picture! so why are insiders selling?

  • Report this Comment On November 03, 2011, at 1:08 PM, Spear101 wrote:

    Up past 7.00. Great dips. Thanks for the winner pick that still has a way to go. I remember investing in GG when it was 26. It's not 50.00.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1517537, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/26/2012 12:39:04 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 15 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,454.83 -74.92 -0.60%
S&P 500 1,317.82 -2.86 -0.22%
NASD 2,837.53 -1.85 -0.07%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
TC $3.71 Up +0.01 +0.27%
Thompson Creek Met… CAPS Rating: *****
NEM $48.82 Up +0.19 +0.39%
Newmont Mining Cor… CAPS Rating: ***
RGLD $69.03 Down -0.03 -0.04%
Royal Gold, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
GMO $2.51 Down -0.06 -2.33%
General Moly CAPS Rating: ****
ABX $40.00 Up +0.49 +1.24%
Barrick Gold Corp… CAPS Rating: ***
FCX $32.41 Down -0.16 -0.49%
Freeport-McMoRan C… CAPS Rating: ****

Advertisement