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With a personal net worth that Forbes estimates at $1.4 billion and rising, there's no disputing Oprah Winfrey'’s bonafides as an empire builder. But can she thrive now, in the era of my-size-fits-me programming delivered digitally?
Her history of beating the odds says yes. But with CBS (NYSE: CBS ) , Walt Disney's (NYSE: DIS ) ABC, Fox, and virtually every other network operator thrown off by the rise of digital distribution, Oprah -- an old-school operator with cash and a mission -- is going to have to buck a serious trend.
She's failed so far. OWN, or Oprah Winfrey Network, has been a ratings underperformer for Discovery Communications (Nasdaq: DISCA ) , which operates the network as a joint venture with Winfrey's Harpo Entertainment.
The platinum touch
Can you blame Oprah for being bold? I can't. Thanks to her massive following, she's become the patron saint of TV talk and attendant consumerism, resulting in a magic touch capable of producing huge gains for investors. Remember when she endorsed Ugg boots? Shares of Deckers Outdoor (Nasdaq: DECK ) took off. Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN ) enjoyed a similar rally when CEO Jeff Bezos was on her show to talk about what was then the latest Kindle.
But lately, Oprah hasn't been herself. OWN has struggled to please viewers used to seeing her pointing and yelling, "You get a car! And you get a car! And you get a car!" She's stepped away from the screen, opting instead to turn OWN into a portfolio of shows built around people Oprah finds interesting. Here's a look at some of the network’s headliners:
- Finding Sarah, profiling the emotional, financial, and physical struggles of Sarah Ferguson, the former Duchess of York.
- Ryan & Tatum: The O'Neals, which documents the trials of a Hollywood father and daughter as they attempt to reconcile after years of being estranged.
- Oprah: Behind the Scenes, a serial documentary that examines all that went into producing the Queen of Talk's 25th and final season hosting her namesake show.
On the whole, ratings have suffered, and OWN's first CEO, Christina Norman, was replaced after just five months on the job. Today, Discovery Communications Chief Operating Officer Peter Liguori acts as interim CEO -- with Winfrey pulling strings behind the scenes, no doubt.
Oprah's big bet is bigger than you think
For its part, Discovery isn't taking chances. Earlier this year, the company changed the way it accounts for OWN. Yes, it's still a joint venture, but now it's one in which Oprah has more to lose because of an asset transfer:
On January 1, 2011, we contributed the domestic Discovery Health network to OWN. … Following the contribution, we no longer consolidate the domestic Discovery Health network. Additionally, net losses generated by OWN will be allocated to both joint venture partners based on their proportionate ownership interests, which are 50-50. Previously, we recognized 100% of OWN’s net losses. Future net income generated by OWN will initially be allocated 100% to us up to the amount of net losses previously recognized by us prior to the contribution. After we have recouped our losses, any excess net income will be allocated to both joint venture partners based on their proportionate ownership interests. [Emphasis added.]
See the change? Discovery is no longer alone in taking the hit should OWN programs fail to deliver promised profits. What's more, all profits go to Discovery until the network is made whole from earlier investments.
Come back, Oprah!
I've watched the Oprah show with my wife enough times to know that viewers don't tune in for the guests; they tune in for the host. As National Public Radio critic Eric Deggans wrote after a day of watching OWN: "The channel needs more Oprah and more distinctive programming."
Discovery's investors can only hope. Do you agree? Disagree? Please vote in the poll below and then leave a comment to tell us whether you think OWN is creating value for Discovery. You can also add Discovery Communications to your watchlist for up-to-date analysis as soon as it's published.