The leading maker of wood-alternative decking revealed yesterday that its second-quarter performance was brutal. Shares of Trex fell 15% after it announced that it would sorely miss the $115 million in revenue it was originally targeting. Trex expects just $78 million on its top line for the three months ended in June.
This is the worst time of the year to come up short, as it's when homeowners begin building out their decks to make the most of the summer season.
Trex has its scapegoats.
It points to major snowstorms in April, followed by unusually high precipitation in May. It's hard to get outdoor projects started when the elements aren't cooperating. Trex closed out the quarter on a good note, with June revenue clocking in 15% ahead of last year's showing, but hold the cookout celebration.
Revenue will still be off sharply from the $115.5 million it reported last year, even with June's save. July is off to a good start, but it's too late. Who starts building a deck in mid-July when the summer season is already under way? This is a highly seasonal business, and sequential sales plunged 48% between the second and third quarters of last year. Bulls better not be expecting cheery third-quarter guidance when Trex reports in three weeks.
Once again, we're seeing consumers holding off on major home improvement projects. The lackluster economy isn't helping, but the bigger problem may be that so many homeowners owe more on their houses than they're presently worth. Who wants to build a new deck on a property that may have to be surrendered to the banks?
The bad news for Trex investors is that having scapegoats for missing out on this year's telltale deck-building season doesn't excuse the company from missing out on said season. Barring a miraculous midsummer jump -- and, spoiler alert, it won't happen given the macroeconomic issues -- Trex will now go back into hibernation until it gives next springtime a shot at weathering the elements.
Do you have any experience with Trex decks? Share your thoughts in the comments box below.