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The Extraordinary Power of Dividends: IBM Edition

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I took my first investing class as a teenager, and one moment stands out in my memory. A fellow student asked the instructor, a stockbroker, about dividends.

"Dividends?" he asked. "I'm trying to make my clients wealthy. You don't do that waiting for tiny checks in the mailbox every quarter."

Even then, I had enough horse sense to know he was wrong. Paying attention to dividends is exactly how you become wealthy over time.

Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel made a wonderful discovery in his book The Future for Investors. The greatest long-term returns typically don't come from the most innovative companies, or even companies with the highest earnings growth. They come from companies that happen to crank out dividends year after year. Simply put, since the 1950s, "the portfolios with higher dividend yields offered investors higher returns."

Market commentary regularly centers around price gyrations, yet dividends have historically accounted for more than half of total returns.

Reinvest those dividends, and your results become even greater. Take IBM (NYSE: IBM  ) , for example. Since the late 1960s, IBM shares have increased about 1,000%. But add in reinvested dividends, and total returns jump to 3,100%:

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Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

There's no ambiguity here: Over time, IBM's share appreciation alone has paled in importance to the power of its reinvested dividends. The results are similar for other tech companies like Intel (Nasdaq: INTC  ) and even Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) ; reinvested dividends skew both companies' total long-term returns dramatically higher. If you're a long-term shareholder, don't worry about daily share wobbles. Devote your attention those dividend payouts, and your commitment to reinvest them.

And how do IBM's dividends look? The company has paid a dividend every year since 1916. Its current yield -- 1.7% -- is not high by market standards, but sits at the high range for its industry. Over the past five years, IBM's dividend has used up an average of 20% of its free cash flow, which means it is well covered and safe from any immediate cuts. "IBM has an absolutely unequal record in capital allocation," said value investor Bill Miller last year.

To earn the greatest returns, get your priorities straight. What the market does is less important than what your company earns. What your company earns is less important than how much it pays out in dividends. And what it pays out in dividends is less important than whether you reinvest those dividends.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Fool contributor Morgan Housel owns shares of Microsoft. Follow him on Twitter @TMFHousel. The Fool owns shares of and has bought calls on Intel. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Intel and Microsoft, as well as creating a diagonal call position in Intel. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:01 PM
IBM $194.30 Down -1.79 -0.91%
International Busi… CAPS Rating: ****
MSFT $29.06 Down -0.01 -0.03%
Microsoft Corp CAPS Rating: ****
INTC $25.74 Up +0.09 +0.35%
Intel Corp CAPS Rating: *****

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