July 22, 2011
Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Coinstar (Nasdaq: CSTR ) dropped 10% in intraday trading today after guiding second-quarter revenue below expectations and announcing the departure of a key executive.
So what: Management expects revenue of $434 million to $436 million for the second quarter (which ended in June), below the consensus forecast of $446 million. The president of its high-growth Redbox DVD vending machine unit has resigned "to pursue entrepreneurial and other interests, and will continue to serve as president until a successor is named."
Now what: EPS guidance of $0.96 to $1.00 for the second quarter and $2.90 to $3.15 for 2011 compares favorably with the consensus estimates of $0.81 and $3.02, respectively. But second-quarter revenue grew only about 27%, a marked slowdown. The latest guidance was buried in one of three press releases from the company, suggesting management was trying to slip one past investors. Guidance anticipates a record fourth quarter and appears to rely upon both the timing of new releases to Redbox kiosks and the planned deployment of Safeway (NYSE: SWY ) coin kiosks that were announced in June. That's a lot of risk for a stock with slowing growth and a P/E ratio of 27 times after today's sell-off.
Interested in more info on Coinstar? Add it to your watchlist by clicking here.