Can WinARM Beat Wintel?

Windows on ARM is coming. I've been bullish on Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) Windows 8 since it was detailed at the BUILD Windows developer conference in September.

The aspect I'm probably most excited about is the long-heralded inclusion of support for ARM Holdings (Nasdaq: ARMH  ) -based processors, which is one aspect of my thesis for picking up shares myself. Even as Forrester Research has just said it believes Windows 8 may be too late to the tablet party, the laptop arena is a different story.

A recent Digitimes report now details a potential timeframe on when to expect Windows on ARM laptops. The report mentions that ARM chipmakers like NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA  ) and Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM  ) are pairing up with notebook manufacturers like Asustek and Lenovo to hit the market in 2013 after potentially making appearances in late 2012. They expect the WinARM platform to expand further in 2014 and chip away at Wintel's lead.

ARM chips will take on Intel (Nasdaq: INTC  ) and Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD  ) chips as they improve performance and get Microsoft's blessings. Although don't expect Intel to sit idly by; the chip mammoth is working on its new Ivy Bridge and Haswell next-generation architectures featuring significant power-efficiency improvements in preparation of a hopefully cold reception for ARM chips.

The two largest hurdles that ARM has faced in the laptop market have been software support and collaboration with notebook makers. Windows 8's ARM support addresses the former, and cooperation with Asustek and Lenovo potentially handle the latter.

NVIDIA is particularly excited about Windows on ARM, since the company increasingly has mobile on its mind, and its quad-core ARM-based Tegra 3 processor that just landed already promises "PC-class performance levels."

Talk of ARM-based laptops has been escalating lately, in part because of official Microsoft support. There have been rumors that Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) has tested ARM-based MacBook Airs, and support for quad-core ARM chips was found in Apple's Xcode. While there are plenty of possible explanations that don't include ARM-based Macs, it's still a possibility worth entertaining.

WinARM has some exciting prospects for numerous involved tech companies. Will the gang of ARM supporters be enough to topple Wintel? Share your thoughts in the comments box below.

Add Microsoft and ARM Holdings to your Watchlist to see how WinARM does. Get access to this free report on one stock set to ride the waves of the mobile revolution.

Fool contributor Evan Niu owns shares of Apple and ARM Holdings, but he holds no other position in any company mentioned. Check out his holdings and a short bio. The Motley Fool owns shares of Qualcomm, Intel, Microsoft, and Apple and has bought calls on Intel. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Apple, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Intel, writing puts in NVIDIA, and creating bull call spread positions in Apple, Microsoft, and Intel. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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  • Report this Comment On November 29, 2011, at 11:20 PM, S4Aero wrote:

    An interesting possibility to be sure. An ARMy of Davids (ARMH partners) taking on Goliath (Intel). This fits with my investment thesis - Technology is the biggest driving force in the "new economy".

    I have a fairly significant stake in Intel and expect to keep it. I've also added (much) smaller stakes in NXPI, INFN and ARMH and I'm studying other chip manufacturers. Again - technology will drive the new economy whether it's through the internet, PC, tablet, smart device or social networking site.

    I expect Intel to continue it's R&D dominance, but I also expect the ARMy to gain market share over time. I

  • Report this Comment On November 29, 2011, at 11:22 PM, S4Aero wrote:

    I don't think I can pick a winner. I don't know if the marketplace will either. My plan will be to fill in shares from many manufacturers in my own "mini tech fund".

    Fool On!

  • Report this Comment On November 30, 2011, at 12:05 AM, adrianajones wrote:

    I think Winarm has a great chance to beat wintel. I agree with S4aero that technology is the biggest driving force in the "new economy" It's going to get really competitive out there...

    What does everybody think about laptop tables? I think it could be useful for travel http://bit.ly/vy3hNS

  • Report this Comment On November 30, 2011, at 4:33 PM, jpanspac wrote:

    And what software will you run on your WinArm laptop?

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