Has Capstone Turbine Become the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Capstone Turbine (Nasdaq: CPST  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Capstone Turbine.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% 32.6% Pass
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% 46.7% Pass
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 2.1% Fail
  Net Margin > 15% (39.1%) Fail
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 35.1% Pass
  Current Ratio > 1.3 1.59 Pass
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% (91%) Fail
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 NM NM
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 0% Fail
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% 0% Fail
       
  Total Score   4 out of 9

Source: S&P Capital IQ. NM = not meaningful due to negative earnings. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at Capstone Turbine last year, the company has kept the same four-point score. But the microturbine maker has made some big strides toward longer-term success.

Capstone is a player in the alternative energy space with its low-emission microturbines. Originally, the company saw businesses using its products to generate their own power, reducing or eliminating their dependence on the electrical power grid and the attendant price spikes that occurred at various points over the past decade.

But where Capstone sees itself having the most potential for success is in the oil patch. With shale oil plays arising in areas that don't have access to electricity, microturbines are a natural way to generate the power that oil and gas exploration and production companies need. The company is targeting the Eagle Ford shale play, where Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK  ) and EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG  ) have extensive assets. Capstone has already announced orders for a total of 64 microturbines in the Eagle Ford since August 2010.

With the company posting a small profit in its most recent quarter, that strategy seems to be working well. Yet the best hope for Capstone may eventually be a takeover bid from larger players in the space. With General Electric (NYSE: GE  ) and Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) both vying for dominance in power generation equipment and alternative energy, either company could gain a strategic advantage over the other by adding Capstone's assets to its overall portfolio.

That said, hoping for a takeover is never the ideal investing strategy. If Capstone can use its newfound success to build more business in oil- and gas-producing areas, it could thrive in the current environment. But the company needs to stay profitable if it wants to move closer to perfection in the years ahead.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Capstone has some interesting technology, but when it comes to energy, let me point you in a different direction. Read The Motley Fool's latest special report and find out about the energy stock that could soar the next time oil spikes upward. It's free, but only available for a limited time, so click here now.

Click here to add Capstone Turbine to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Chesapeake Energy. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Read/Post Comments (1) | Recommend This Article (8)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 24, 2012, at 5:41 PM, sgnow1 wrote:

    You say valuation is important. True. But by the time a stock is obviously a "perfect stock" (or close to it) a stock price may already be through the roof. The real trick is to buy a stock BEFORE it is a perfect stock. With CPST, it appears to be on that trajectory.

Add your comment.

DocumentId: 1763999, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 4/23/2014 8:52:09 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...


Advertisement