For the past few months I've been a full-fledged cheerleader of the "four horsemen of credit": Visa (NYSE: V ) , MasterCard (NYSE: MA ) , Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS ) , and American Express (NYSE: AXP ) . With data released yesterday showing that consumer borrowing had its two largest monthly increases in a decade, it's safe to say that people are relying on their credit cards now more than ever. With credit card delinquency rates still mostly in check, this bodes well for the entire sector.
Recently, MasterCard has been my best-of-breed choice in this sector, but I may need to make room for Visa as a co-No. 1.
Last night, Visa reported quarterly results that once again topped even Wall Street's lofty expectations. Revenue rose 14% to $2.55 billion during the first quarter, easily topping the $2.47 billion estimate, with profits growing 16% to $1.49, $0.04 ahead of Wall Street's consensus figure. Driving growth was a 19% jump in international transactions and a 13% jump in data processing revenue.
If there was one pesky negative in this report, it was that the new debit rules, which have taken effect and limit the amount card companies like Visa or MasterCard can charge a business, are constraining revenue. For the quarter, debit usage increased only 6% and in January results worsened to just a 4% increase. Still, Visa owns the lion's share of the debit card market even after MasterCard noted in its quarterly report last week that it stole market share from Visa.
Visa's growth plans entail focusing on international opportunities, as international revenue accounted for 46% of Visa's total first-quarter revenue. The company also plans to return money to shareholders in the form of a $500 million share repurchase program. Personally, I'd rather Visa had used that money to raise its dividend from the current 0.8% yield than to purchase shares at a new all-time high -- but we can't always get what we want, now can we?
Not surprisingly, MasterCard announced on Tuesday that it was doubling its quarterly dividend to $0.30, which places the company right on par with Visa at a 0.8% yield. Discover Financial similarly jumped its dividend by 67% after it reported fourth-quarter results in December. Its yield currently weighs in at 1.4% and puts it on par with American Express, which hasn't raised its dividend since late 2007.
But don't let Visa's or MasterCard's triple-digit price tag fool you into passing on these stocks. While I feel you couldn't go wrong with any of the "four horsemen of credit," outside of the lower dividend yield, I don't see a stronger growth duo in the financial services sector than Visa and MasterCard. It may seem a little redundant to purchase both, but with growth rates in the high-teens to low-twenties percent range, there's no way I can pass them up. I have already made a CAPScall of outperform on MasterCard, but I plan to add Visa to the ranks of outperform as well.
Which of the four credit giants is your favorite? Tell me in the comments section below and consider adding them all to your free and personalized watchlist.
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