Has Hewlett-Packard Become the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Hewlett-Packard.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% 6.8% Fail
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% 1.0% Fail
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 23.8% Fail
  Net Margin > 15% 5.6% Fail
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 78.5% Fail
  Current Ratio > 1.3 1.01 Fail
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% 17.7% Pass
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 8.44 Pass
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 1.7% Fail
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% 4.6% Fail
       
  Total Score   2 out of 10

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at Hewlett-Packard last year, the tech company hasn't been able to improve its two-point score. The company went through another change in leadership over the past year, but investors are hopeful that new CEO Meg Whitman can finally steer a better course for the tech giant.

HP has had a series of unfortunate problems lately. After launching its TouchPad tablet, the company found that few buyers were interested. Rumors even surfaced that Best Buy (NYSE: BBY  ) wanted to return more than 200,000 TouchPads it had as unsold inventory. Eventually, HP had to hold a $99 fire sale to purge the tablets. Meanwhile, former CEO Leo Apotheker made a series of missteps, including trying to spin off the company's PC business as well as buying British software company Autonomy for a whopping $10 billion.

But many are hopeful that Whitman will make the right moves to bring HP back to prosperity. She reassured investors and customers that the company will keep selling computers. To woo developers, she decided to allow the WebOS to become open-source.

The real question for shareholders is whether HP can walk a fine line between its core hardware business and its promising software business. In hardware, rival Dell (Nasdaq: DELL  ) has also struggled with the commodity-like aspects of the PC business. Yet in software, Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL  ) and IBM (NYSE: IBM  ) have unquestionably focused more of their efforts toward growth, giving them a big head start over HP. If Whitman can walk that line and find a balanced approach toward growth, then HP has plenty of potential to get a lot closer to perfection in the years ahead.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.

Hewlett-Packard has struggled, but we've got some stocks you might like a lot better. Learn about three more promising stocks for the long haul in the Fool's latest special report. It's yours for the taking and is absolutely free, but don't miss out -- click here and read it today.

Click here to add Hewlett-Packard to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of Oracle, Best Buy, and IBM. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended writing covered calls in Best Buy and Dell. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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