Fossil Shares Surged: What You Need to Know

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of watchmaker Fossil (Nasdaq: FOSL  ) were ticking higher today, rising as much as 16% in intraday trading after the company reported fourth-quarter results.

So what: Despite the strong market reaction, Fossil's results were actually a bit of a mixed bag. On the clear "plus" side was the company's earnings per share of $1.87, which is up 28% from last year and well ahead of the $1.77 that Wall Street was expecting. The YOY growth was driven by operating-income growth of 16%, a lower tax rate, and a nearly 5% decrease in the number of shares outstanding.

Revenue for the quarter increased 18.5%, which is impressive growth, but the $831 million total was short of the $841 million that analysts had estimated.

Now what: Guidance wasn't overly bullish either. For the first quarter, the company sees EPS between $0.90 and $0.91, which is solidly below Wall Street estimates of $0.98. For the full year, the company projected per-share profit of $5.40 to $5.50, which, at the midpoint, is a penny above analysts' current view.

In all, it certainly wasn't a bad report from Fossil, and in a tough retail environment, it's encouraging that management's guidance basically lines up with the expectations that were already out there. However, the extremely strong market reaction today does have me shaking my head a bit.

Want to keep up to date on Fossil? Add it to your Watchlist.

Fool contributor Matt Koppenheffer does not have a financial interest in any of the companies mentioned. You can check out what Matt is keeping an eye on by visiting his CAPS portfolio, or you can follow Matt on Twitter @KoppTheFool or Facebook

The Motley Fool owns shares of Fossil. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Fossil. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended shorting Fossil. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy prefers dividends over a sharp stick in the eye.


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