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Bill Barrett Earnings Preview

Bill Barrett (NYSE: BBG  ) hasn't been able to establish an earnings trend, bouncing between beating and falling short of estimates during the past fiscal year. The company will unveil its latest earnings on Thursday, Feb. 23. Bill Barrett Corporation is an independent oil and gas company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil.

What analysts say:

  • Buy, sell, or hold?: Analysts are bullish on this stock. Only one rates it as a sell, while nine recommend it as a buy. Analysts don't like Bill Barrett as much as competitor Kodiak Oil & Gas overall. Analysts still rate the stock a moderate buy, but they are a bit more wary about it compared to three months ago.
  • Revenue forecasts: On average, analysts predict $199.4 million in revenue this quarter. That would represent a rise of 22% from the year-ago quarter.
  • Wall Street earnings expectations: The average analyst estimate is earnings of $0.36 per share. Estimates range from $0.04 to $0.54.

What our community says:
CAPS All-Stars are enthusiastically backing the stock, with 96.2% giving it an outperform rating. Most of the community concurs with the All-Stars, with 91.5% awarding it a rating of outperform. Bill Barrett has a bullish CAPS rating of five out of five stars that is about on par with the Fool community assessment.

Revenue has now gone up for three straight quarters.

Now let's look at how efficient management is at running the business. Traditionally, margins represent the efficiency with which companies capture portions of sales dollars. The company's operating margins have been decreasing year over year for the last four quarters. Operating margins reflect the total sales revenue that the company retains after costs. Here is how Bill Barrett has been doing for the last four quarters:






Gross Margin





Operating Margin





Net Margin





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Earnings estimates provided by Zacks.

Read/Post Comments (1) | Recommend This Article (1)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 23, 2012, at 10:50 AM, tk77mann wrote:

    I was a BBG owner for six+ years and am really impressed by the drive, strategy, skills, and industry knowledge these folks have. They started small with a good direction and focus that led them to great drilling and production success.

    That said, they can not force the price of natural gas to profitable levels. They do hedge a significant portion of their gas production (62% of gas hedged at $4.08 for 2012). That is good, but hedges only work to smooth out price fluctuations, they can not eliminate long term drops in prices. Natural gas is now just above $2.50, a level that looks to be a loss position for natural gas producers.

    Supply factors in natural gas production (low cost to drill, lots of new gas finds, and increased capacity due to expanded fracking use) plus demand factors (an extremely warm winter and slow conversion rates to natural gas usage) probably mean natural gas prices are not going back to $4 for a while. This wll play havoc on the bottom line of natural gas producers, especially ones with lots of debt (like CHK for instance).

    BBG and other natural gas producers are shifting toward drilling for oil, but the next few years do not look good for them in meantime. (Only 27% of BBG's production was from oil and natural gas liquids in 2012.)

    I did not want to sell my BBG shares but I believe it will be a flat stock price at the very best until natural gas prices come back a lot. I am surprised nine analysts rate it a Buy, but then again we know how well analysts' ratings can often be. Foolishly yours, TK

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