Has KB Home Become the Perfect Stock?

Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?

One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if KB Home (NYSE: KBH  ) fits the bill.

The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:

  • Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
  • Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
  • Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
  • Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
  • Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
  • Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.

With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at KB Home.

Factor

What We Want to See

Actual

Pass or Fail?

Growth 5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% (32.5%) Fail
  1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% (17.2%) Fail
Margins Gross Margin > 35% 17.3% Fail
  Net Margin > 15% (13.6%) Fail
Balance Sheet Debt to Equity < 50% 357.7% Fail
  Current Ratio > 1.3 6.88 Pass
Opportunities Return on Equity > 15% (33.3%) Fail
Valuation Normalized P/E < 20 NM NM
Dividends Current Yield > 2% 2.2% Pass
  5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% (24.2%) Fail
       
  Total Score   2 out of 9

Source: S&P Capital IQ. NM = not meaningful due to negative earnings. Total score = number of passes.

Since we looked at KB Home last year, the company has gained a point. Despite its dividend rising above 2%, however, the homebuilder has a long way to go to get back to its former glory.

Home prices have struggled for years, and even recent figures show big declines in most cities around the country. Clearly, that has had an impact throughout the economy, especially for homebuilders.

But after years of record-low housing starts, some signs are appearing that suggest the glut in new homes may finally be starting to dissipate. New orders are starting to pour in, with Lennar (NYSE: LEN  ) seeing 20% growth in new orders. Even higher-end homebuilder Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL  ) posted an 8% gain, while KB Home saw orders jump 38%.

Backlog units are also on the rise, with KB Home sporting a 22% rise. Competitors Beazer Homes (NYSE: BZH  ) and Standard Pacific (NYSE: SPF  ) had even bigger jumps in backlogs, at 84% and 40%, respectively.

Still, KB Home and its peers have a long way to go before they can return to their heyday. KB Home's revenue stands at just 15% of its 2006 peak, and it's obviously a long way from profitability.

To improve its score, KB Home needs to take things one step at a time. Once revenue hits bottom, the company can start focusing on getting its margins up, and then turn its attention to its balance sheet. The housing boom of the 2000s may never return, but KB Home could still survive in better shape than it's been in during the recession.

Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate the best investments from the rest.

KB Home may not be a perfect stock, but we've got some ideas you may like better. Let me invite you to learn about three smart long-term stock plays in the Fool's latest special report. It's yours for the taking and is absolutely free, but don't miss out -- click here and read it today.

Click here to add KB Home to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Fool contributor Dan Caplinger doesn't own shares of the companies mentioned. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended writing naked calls on Standard Pacific. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


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Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 26, 2012, at 10:30 PM, KBHomeProblems wrote:

    Might be the perfect stock but from our nightmare experience they certainly don't build the perfect home . . .

    Here's more information on our experience with KB Home . . .

    http://www.kbhomeproblems.com

  • Report this Comment On November 05, 2012, at 9:16 PM, zerofill wrote:

    Everyone should run from KB Home as their stock will likely become a bust as the homebuilder is starting to get a lot of bad press in Florida and the story is about to go national. Homes have water intrusion and mold and they are crumbling after being just a few years old. So far there have been over 12 communities that have come forward.

    http://thekbhome.com

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