February 29, 2012
Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of health management services company Accretive Health (NYSE: AH ) are shooting higher by as much as 12% after the company reported fourth-quarter results and issued fiscal 2012 guidance.
So what: For the quarter, Accretive Health reported a profit of $0.17, $0.01 ahead of consensus expectations, on a 53% year-over-year jump in revenue to $260.1 million (which was also ahead of estimates). Oddly enough, the company's 2012 forecast wasn't nearly as optimistic as Wall Street had expected. Accretive is forecasting an adjusted profit of $0.61 to $0.65 and sales of $1.09 billion to $1.12 billion versus the Street's expectation of $0.69 on sales of $1.12 billion.
Now what: Accretive Health's growth is not in question, but I definitely think their valuation is. Based on its adjusted 2012 forecast, the company is trading at about 41 times forward earnings. That's expensive, even for a company projecting it will grow sales by 34% in the coming year. I would pass on the stock here based on valuation alone but would consider adding it to My Watchlist.
Craving more input? Start by adding Accretive Health to your free and personalized watchlist so you can keep up on the latest news with the company.