Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of online photo publisher Shutterfly
So what: With the deal, Shutterfly would basically remove a large competitor from the online-photo sharing space, strengthen its leadership position, and likely lead to lower costs over time. The transfer of Kodak Gallery's 75 million customer accounts could even help Shutterfly thwart tech threats like Apple and Amazon from entering the fray.
Now what: If Shutterfly can close the deal, analysts estimate that its annual earnings could increase by at least 10 cents per share. But while Shutterfly is certainly the likely buyer at this point, rivals like Snapfish and Vistaprint still have the opportunity to bid for Kodak Gallery in a court-supervised auction. Given Shutterfly's already-lofty price multiples, the risk/reward trade-off seems rather unfavorable.
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