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JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM ) reported earnings before the market opened on Friday. Although shares reacted negatively (down about 2% in the first half-hour of trading, more than double the Dow (INDEX: ^DJI ) loss), as a shareholder, I was pleased with the report.
Earnings per share of $1.31 (or $5.4 billion total) actually beat last year ($1.28) and beat estimates ($1.18). Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC ) also reported today with a similar story (an earnings beat but a lowered stock price).
In the big picture, I think these reports are good news for banking in general and Bank of America (NYSE: BAC ) and Citigroup (NYSE: C ) in particular. Both report next week and both have been laboring under lowered expectations.
Digging into the details
As always, that final $1.31 in earnings for JPMorgan comes with a lot of puts and takes, including these significant items.
Adding to earnings:
- $0.28 per share benefit from reduced mortgage and credit card loan reserves. This is a common occurrence as the banks are seeing better loan performance as the economy improves and (hopefully) lending practices have gotten more reasonable.
- $0.17 per share benefit from the Washington Mutual bankruptcy settlement. This is a one-time item.
Subtracting from earnings:
- $0.39 per share loss from additional litigation reserves -- mostly due to mortgage-related matters ($2.5 billion in pre-tax expense). CEO Jamie Dimon believes that this should be the last significant addition to litigation reserves for a while after a "thorough review." Perhaps. Either way, this is a real expense.
- $0.14 per share loss due to debit value adjustments. In other words, its increased strength means it couldn't buy back its own debt as cheaply. This is a silly accounting rule that we have to deal with each quarter.
Breaking it down
Looking segment by segment, we see how JPMorgan earned its $5.4 billion this quarter.
Line of Business
|Retail Financial Services||$1,753||($399)|
|Card Services & Auto||$1,183||$1,534|
|Treasury & Securities Services||$351||$316|
|Total Net Income||$5,383||$5,555|
You'll notice that JPMorgan actually earned slightly less versus last year even though its earnings per share went up. That's the beauty of stock repurchases. Expect more as it announced $15 billion more (and $12 billion this year) after its good stress test results. This was in addition to its dividend boost (from $0.25 to $0.30 per quarter).
From the chart, you'll notice that the i-banking business is down significantly. This looks worse than it is because of that $907 million in debit value adjustments, and the business is up significantly from the fourth quarter. All in all, a solid showing from the investment bank.
The Retail Financial Services side of the business (i.e., regular banking, including mortgages) was stronger from more mortgage fees but weaker from less debit card fees (thanks to the Durbin Amendment). Last year's quarter was a loss due to $1.2 billion in provisioning (versus a slight benefit this year). Looking at charge-off rates, we see year-over-year improvement across prime mortgages, subprime mortgages, and home equity loans. Good stuff.
And on the Card Services and Auto side, we see a drop in income driven by more provisioning than last year. But its credit card charge-off rate was down to 4.37% versus 6.81% last year. More good stuff.
If you're looking at the Corporate/Private Equity line and wondering what's going on with the loss, that's where the $2.5 billion additional litigation services costs are residing.
The bottom line
You still with me? I know I got a little in the weeds on the numbers here, but I get excited about banking. Overall, I like what I'm seeing from JPMorgan.
It's been able to keep profitability strong despite challenges to non-interest income (e.g., the Durbin amendment and restrictions on checking account overage charges). It's been able to strengthen its loan portfolio. Its capital ratios are strengthening -- Tier 1 common capital ratio is 10.4% under Basel I and an estimated 8.4% under Basel III. And it's giving more capital back to shareholders.
So let JPMorgan's stock price fall on good news. It's a better buy-in price if you're interested.
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