Track the companies that matter to you. It's FREE! Click one of these fan favorites to get started: Apple; Google; Ford.



How High Can Altria Fly?

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

Shares of Altria (NYSE: MO  ) hit a 52-week high yesterday. Let's take a look at how the company got there to find out whether clear skies remain on the horizon.

How it got here
Tobacco is a rather glacial industry. Major events can roil the waters and break off a few icebergs every now and then, but momentum still keeps rolling inexorably onwards. Major players have had remarkably similar performances over the past five years. Altria's best-in-class performance tops Lorillard (NYSE: LO  ) and Philip Morris (NYSE: PM  ) by the slimmest of margins, and only Vector Group (NYSE: VGR  ) is anything close to a laggard:

MO Total Return Price Chart

MO Total Return Price data by YCharts.

Altria makes new highs rather regularly, but so do many of its competitors, and none have seen their P/E ratios bloat so much. Only Reynolds American (NYSE: RAI  ) has gotten similarly inflated from earlier levels, but it's not really a contest as to which company is gaining the most on investor demand:

MO P/E Ratio Chart

MO P/E Ratio data by YCharts.

The answer to this puzzle is easy to find. Since spinning off its international Philip Morris operations, earnings per share have fallen flat, as have Reynolds' and Vector's:

MO Earnings Per Share TTM Chart

MO Earnings Per Share TTM data by YCharts.

What you need to know
Altria's valuation hasn't been this high in nearly 15 years, but investors keep buying it for safety's sake. The company has a yield in line with most peers, which certainly helps keep it on the upswing:


P/E Ratio

Net Margin (TTM)

Dividend Yield

Altria 19.7 20.6% 5.0%
Philip Morris 16.6 24.0% 3.7%
Lorillard 15.3 24.5% 5.1%
Vector Group 29.2 8.2% 9.4%
Reynolds American 18.5 15.3% 5.7%

Source: Yahoo! Finance. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Altria's benefit may be in its focus on America -- Philip Morris could suffer if the euro implodes -- but that doesn't offer a compelling argument for its success over fellow American vendor Lorillard, which has both a lower valuation and a lower payout ratio. Altria's been losing market share to Lorillard at the same time, which has pushed Altria to cut large portions of their workforce. Still, it rolls on. Is it the best tobacco company? Possibly not. However, it is currently the best tobacco stock by a very slim margin. For defensive investors, that might be enough.

What's next?
Where does Altria go from here? That may depend more on nervous investors than on anything the company does in its own right. There's not much Altria can do to improve its earnings per share beyond more buybacks, and even those haven't really mattered, as there are only 3% fewer Altria shares outstanding now than there were five years ago.

The Motley Fool's CAPS community has given Altria a perfect five-star rating, with 98.2% of our CAPS All-Stars expecting the stock to continue to outperform. In a recent analyst roundtable, I called Altria a market performer, but I may have underestimated the flight to safety that many seek from this company's yield and resistance to economic headwinds. There's no reason to expect it to collapse quite as badly in a bear market as the indexes would. That's already been proven true once in the recent past. Defense wins championships, as they say in basketball.

Interested in tracking this stock as it continues on its path? Add Altria to your Watchlist now for all the news we Fools can find, delivered to your inbox as it happens. If you want to build the best defensive team your portfolio can get, The Motley Fool's got another nine dividend dynamos to draft. Find out everything you need to know in our most popular free report.

Fool contributor Alex Planes holds no financial position in any company mentioned here. Add him on Google+ or follow him on Twitter @TMFBiggles for more news and insights. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Read/Post Comments (2) | Recommend This Article (5)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 08, 2012, at 4:19 PM, mansourg54 wrote:

    MO is different from its competitors. It has many other businesses that can grow in revenues and profits which should translate in higher stock price. The Value Line has changed its rating on MO with a target price of 45 up from 35.

  • Report this Comment On June 08, 2012, at 4:55 PM, mikecart1 wrote:

    MO is the best stock I have ever owned. Everyday I walk by the community-outside-smoke-shed and I smile. Knowing that coworkers go out there every couple of hours and knowing that no matter what the temperature is outside, rain or snow, light or dark, that that smoke shed is occupied with several smokers...makes me feel like I'm doing my job as an investor and making money.

    I know some people feel it is an immoral stock but then I ask these people do they own one of these stocks or a similar in the sector: KO, PEP, MCD, YUM, LVS, WMT, etc. and I go 'uh huh...'


Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 1907656, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 10/25/2016 2:58:29 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 5 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 18,223.03 77.32 0.43%
S&P 500 2,151.33 10.17 0.47%
NASD 5,309.83 52.43 1.00%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

10/24/2016 4:00 PM
MO $64.95 Up +1.25 +1.96%
Altria Group CAPS Rating: ****
LO.DL $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Lorillard CAPS Rating: ****
PM $96.91 Up +0.60 +0.62%
Philip Morris Inte… CAPS Rating: ****
RAI $55.10 Up +1.32 +2.45%
Reynolds American CAPS Rating: ****
VGR $20.93 Up +0.19 +0.92%
Vector Group CAPS Rating: ***