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6

1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Osiris Therapeutics?

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, stem cell company Osiris Therapeutics (Nasdaq: OSIR  ) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Osiris' business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Osiris facts

Headquarters (founded) Columbia, Md. (1992)
Market Cap $454.3 million
Industry Biotechnology
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $36.6 million
Management CEO Charles Mills (since 2004)
CFO Philip Jacoby Jr. (since 2009)
Return on Equity (average, past 3 years) (4.3%)
Cash/Debt $43.2 million / $0
Competitors Abbott Labs
Biogen Idec
UCB

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 48% of the 71 All-Star members who have rated Osiris believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward.

Earlier this week, one of those Fools, All-Star TSIF, tapped the stock's recent surge as seemingly unsustainable:

[Stem cell therapy Prochymal] was approved for use in limited situations in Canada last month starting the cycle of speculation and short covering and now by New Zealand. The market is limited, although costing may be high. ...

Osiris has other irons in the fire, but nothing of consequence in the near term.

The reality is that Osiris Therapeutics, Inc has a high cash burn rate and I fully expect them to take this near doubling in three weeks to execute additional financing. In the meantime, I don't expect the orders cover the manufacturing cost and the increase in S&G to get market growth.

Once the shorts lick their wounds and leave this low float equity alone for a time and speculators get "bored" Osiris share price will retreat.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. The Fool owns shares of Abbott Labs. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


Read/Post Comments (2) | Recommend This Article (6)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On June 27, 2012, at 6:17 PM, tblakeslee wrote:

    I'm shocked to see Motley Fool joining in a short attack just like Seeking Alpha does. OSIR has been quietly developing a line of stem cell products that really work. Finally, after 20 years of work it is coming together. They will be a powerhouse. They will revolutionize medicine.

    They have approved products that are nearing profitability now. Grafix is an example. It is derived from placental tissue and provides a matrix, stem cells and growth factors that can heal anything. Here is a recent article:

    http://bdtonline.com/cnhi/x1968176240/Stem-cell-treatment-re...

  • Report this Comment On June 27, 2012, at 6:47 PM, TSIF wrote:

    Motley Fool Culls comments from it's members who primarily use the Fool as a score card to learn about investing. They pick comments from posters who predominantly have no links to the investing world and certainly aren't short. Fool uses those short articles based on a members comments to spark converstation and attract people to their paid forums.

    Biopharms are tricky critters. They don't play well with technicals and fundamentals, but there still has to valuation that aligns with reality. The 160% climb the last two weeks was clearly shorts getting beaten by a large block buyer and was further fueled by speculators who jump onto fast moving stocks with very little DD.

    I wish you well long term, but short term, there are signals and patterns and when you exceed valuation because of short covering and speculation, you can expect a hard fall. A financing agreement is probably also emminant and the share price will drop again accordingly.

    So it's nothing against the medical potential, ride it at 160% gain if you want, but others will spot signals and book profits when irrational events occur.

    Best of luck.

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5/17/2013 4:00 PM
OSIR $11.27 Up +0.67 +6.32%
Osiris Therapeutic… CAPS Rating: *

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