Monster Beverage
1. How much more energy-drink growth is left?
Monster's most recent quarterly report disappointed investors with a mere 28% gain on the top line and 30% profit growth. Yes, the word "mere" is used here to describe growth most CEOs would sell their firstborns for. The company's five-year stock price growth has averaged 23% annually:
MNST Revenue TTM data by YCharts.
Monster's grown faster than the broader energy-drink market for years, but there are some concerns that the market may be nearing saturation. If that's not the case, there are external threats to consider. My fellow Fool Sean Williams thinks that energy drinks' uncertain effects on Americans' health might lead to tighter regulation, or even an outright disappearance from stores nationwide. Energy drinks make up a tiny sliver of the nonalcoholic beverage market -- just 1%, by one estimate. Getting to 5% would be a huge boon for Monster (and other energy-drink leaders), but is that possible?
2. Is a growth stock pullback inevitable?
Monster's admirably resisted the tug of gravity that's dropped many growth stocks this year. Its trajectory isn't as strongly positive as it was at 2012's halfway point, but it's done better than a few other Foolish growth-stock favorites:
MNST Total Return Price data by YCharts.
SodaStream
Company |
P/E |
Forward P/E |
---|---|---|
Monster Beverage |
33.4 |
24.2 |
SodaStream |
22.7 |
13.3 |
Chipotle Mexican Grill |
35.7 |
27.0 |
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters |
11.7 |
10.2 |
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
Monster and Chipotle are quite similar, though Chipotle's pulled ahead on bottom-line growth coming out of the recession:
MNST Revenue TTM data by YCharts.
Owning a high-growth stock can be a wild ride. The last thing you want is for the market to bail out when you're coasting higher, but the past year's results for many former highfliers show that strong results alone can't guarantee further gains. Remember, the latest quarter shouldn't have disappointed serious investors, but it still sparked a pullback. Another weak report could be very damaging.
3. Will competition finally crack Monster's death grip?
It's not for lack of trying that Monster's competitors haven't gotten ahead. Coca-Cola
Starbucks
It may not take long to get answers to these questions. As a growth investor, you should have your finger on the pulse of your favorite companies, but it's always a good idea to look for new multibaggers, too. The Fool's found three stocks that (we hope) might become the next Monster in your portfolio. Want to know more? All the information you need is in our latest and most popular free report -- click here for the information you need to make another great buy.