Here's Your Chance to Double Your Money on Apple

The Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) bears have been out in force going on seven weeks now. Over that time, shares have shed nearly a quarter of their value from peak to trough. Shares traded below $534 on Friday, 24% below the peak of $705. I've already said it's time to buy Apple, but I'm not alone in my optimism.

Topeka Capital analyst Brian White, who seems intent on maintaining the highest Apple price target on the Street, is out recently  reiterating his target of a whopping $1,100. With shares trading in the ballpark of $550 right now, that represents a solid 100% gain from current levels if his forecast becomes a reality. Let's reiterate that: Investors can still possibly enjoy double-bagger gains on Apple.

White keeps a close watch on a handful of Apple suppliers as part of his "Apple Monitor" report. The idea is that by tracking activity among suppliers, investors can glean some hints into what's in the Mac maker's pipeline. That's analogous to tracking third-party manufacturing and component purchase commitments, which have just skyrocketed by more than $7.5 billion, or 50%, sequentially.

The analyst notes that preliminary sales out of the suppliers he tracks have just jumped 29% year over year and 9% from the prior month, well above the 2% monthly gain these companies have averaged over the past seven years. Looks like Apple's expecting quite the quarter and is ordering up ingredients for its latest concoctions.

Apple's seen pullbacks like this before. By White's count, the iPad maker has traded like this at least three times in the past 13 months. The past three pullbacks since around last September have been approximately 16%, 15%, and then 19%, in that order. This one is certainly worse than the others, but Apple's rally has been nothing short of impressive, and even the bulls need to take a break from time to time.

White also sees the current weakness as a buying opportunity, with shares trading near 8 times next year's earnings ex-cash. Apple has an incredible lineup heading into the holiday season. I'm with White on this one. Buy Apple now while you still can.

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  • Report this Comment On November 10, 2012, at 4:13 PM, PedroHMG wrote:

    Apple will sell over 50,000,000 iPhones and 30,000,000 iPads this quarter. Mac sales will break all records. Apple will be back above records highs after January 2013 BLOWOUT earnings. Could not agree more with this article. Long Apple since $37. Apple has the best over all product line in the history of the company!

  • Report this Comment On November 10, 2012, at 6:31 PM, deasystems wrote:

    @happypoordays: The funny thing is that people are not only pleased with Apple's outdated technology, they also are crazy about its leading edge, state-of-the-art technology too. I guess that's one of the reasons people love Apple products so much: Even its older superseded products are competitive with the "latest and greatest" from would-be rivals. So, yes, "Go Apple!!!" indeed!

  • Report this Comment On November 12, 2012, at 9:38 AM, afamiii wrote:

    Apple's PE is now well below 13, well below the S&P500 average.

    Its RoE and RoA at 35% and 24% respectively is well above S&P500

    Revenue, earnings and free cash flow growth are all sitting well above 20% for the last quarter and indeed for the last 60 quarters. Again it is growing well above the S&P500.

    Our DCF puts Apple in the $900 to $1,000 dollar range. For shure it should be selling at a PE above S&P. Eighteen at a minimum or but really 21.

    At worst it is number 2 in an oligopoly in smartphones and number 1 in an oligopoly of tablets. Nokia Lumina has shown Windows 8 fans that launching a me too product 3 years late just doesn't work.

    If ROIC (investment requirements) and reasonable expectations of cash flow growth drive value then Apple is surely a great buy.

    To be fair I am biased having given up significant parts of my profit on Apple position. But I remain 98% certain that we will see $900 within the next 12 months.

    I'm sure I'm missing something and smartphones cause brain cancer or something and Apple is about to be hit with a $100 billion law suit because they knew all the time.

  • Report this Comment On November 13, 2012, at 7:09 AM, LarryBright29 wrote:

    AAPL price targets from 38 different analysts, which has been extracted from numerous sources are:

    minimum -$600

    maximum- $900

    Current AAPL@542 as entry point, is very attractive.

    This positive stance on AAPL is also supported by:

    * WSJ*

    ** I Know First algorithmic system**

    Good Trading!

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