Can Research In Motion Be a Four-Bagger?

Struggling BlackBerry maker Research In Motion  (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) recently received a rare analyst upgrade from Jefferies analyst Peter Misek. Carriers are starting to show more interest in BlackBerry 10, but they have a vested interest in reducing the influence of Apple  (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) iOS and Google  (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) Android. Meanwhile, Microsoft  (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) continues to eye RIM's No. 3 spot in the smartphone market. The best-case scenario that Misek sees is that BlackBerry 10 matches iOS and Android competitively in features, but he believes the platform's success could skyrocket shares to $43 over the next 12 months -- a 300% upside from current prices.

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Read/Post Comments (6) | Recommend This Article (1)

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  • Report this Comment On November 22, 2012, at 4:22 PM, applefan1 wrote:

    All phones are subsidized. When someone buys a phone on a 2 year contract, the buyer ends up paying for the phone and whatever service they get which is typically expensive to begin with.

  • Report this Comment On November 22, 2012, at 4:23 PM, applefan1 wrote:

    None of major app developers seem to be developing for Blackberry, They are developing for iOS and Android.

  • Report this Comment On November 22, 2012, at 4:43 PM, tychicum wrote:

    happypoordays ... just say no to drugs.

  • Report this Comment On November 22, 2012, at 6:38 PM, Arthur1111 wrote:

    Misek says BB10 will catch up with iOS and Android at best? What a joke? based on the specs and what is known so far, BB10 is the very best. Why do you care what Misek says. We have been telling you since the RIMM was $6.50 to sell AAPL and buy RIMM. If you listened you've almost doubled your money.

    RIMM is up over 17% today in Canada. But, it is still dirt cheap. Investment is about making money. It has nothing to do being a fan to any company. Sooooo, sell AAPL and buy RIMM before it is too late.

  • Report this Comment On November 22, 2012, at 10:50 PM, digitally404 wrote:

    @applefan1: No major app developers for BB10? Are you joking? How about EA, Gameloft, TuneIn, Halfbrick (to name a few).

    The new BB10 phone is an intelligent phone that is being marketed to the intelligent members of the population. Android and iPhone fall on the side of toys that you get for your kids.

  • Report this Comment On November 23, 2012, at 7:42 AM, digitally404 wrote:

    Also, from Peter Misek's estimates, if BB10 has a 20% chance of becoming a success, Peter's PT is $43. This means BB10 has an 80% chance of not being a success, and I assume that this is Peter's PT of $10?

    Mathematically speaking, the expected value from Peter's PTs means the stock value should currently be valued to be (0.2*43 + 0.8*10) = $16.60

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