Does The Street Have United Parcel Service Figured Out?

United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Jan. 31. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict United Parcel Service's revenues will expand 1.9% and EPS will expand 7.8%.

The average estimate for revenue is $14.44 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.38.

Revenue details
Last quarter, United Parcel Service recorded revenue of $13.07 billion. GAAP reported sales were 0.7% lower than the prior-year quarter's $13.17 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $1.06. GAAP EPS of $0.48 for Q3 were 56% lower than the prior-year quarter's $1.09 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 17.3%, 670 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 5.9%, 670 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 3.6%, 450 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $53.99 billion. The average EPS estimate is $4.58.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a four-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 1,607 members out of 1,818 rating the stock outperform, and 211 members rating it underperform. Among 506 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 464 give United Parcel Service a green thumbs-up, and 42 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on United Parcel Service is outperform, with an average price target of $83.85.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. The Motley Fool recommends United Parcel Service. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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8/29/2016 2:03 PM
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