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Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Navios Maritime Holdings (NYSE: NM) fits the bill.
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Navios Maritime Holdings.
Factor |
What We Want to See |
Actual |
Pass or Fail? |
---|---|---|---|
Growth |
5-year annual revenue growth > 15% |
(4.1%) |
Fail |
1-year revenue growth > 12% |
(10.6%) |
Fail | |
Margins |
Gross margin > 35% |
37.2% |
Pass |
Net margin > 15% |
26.9% |
Pass | |
Balance sheet |
Debt to equity < 50% |
105.3% |
Fail |
Current ratio > 1.3 |
2.51 |
Pass | |
Opportunities |
Return on equity > 15% |
13.3% |
Fail |
Valuation |
Normalized P/E < 20 |
4.64 |
Pass |
Dividends |
Current yield > 2% |
5.3% |
Pass |
5-year dividend growth > 10% |
(3.7%) |
Fail | |
Total score |
5 out of 10 |
Since we looked at Navios Maritime Holdings last year, the company hasn't been able to regain any of the three points it dropped from 2011 to 2012. The stock hasn't gone far either, rising just 5% over the past year, although it has regained a lot of ground for extensive losses late last year.
For years, Navios has struggled as a glut of vessels has pushed the Baltic Dry Bulk index to rock-bottom levels, jeopardizing profitability around the industry. Navios has actually performed quite well during the slump, maintaining positive earnings even as rival DryShips (DRYS +0.00%) has had to rely on secondary offerings of subsidiary Ocean Rig's shares to provide needed cash.
But Navios has benefited lately from growing optimism about shipping. One research firm has called for shipping rates to triple in the next two years as growing global demand finally starts catching up with overcapacity. Yet as Fool analyst Blake Bos recently discussed, shadow inventory of vessels within government and company fleets could make those bullish calls premature.
One challenge Navios faces is high debt. Diana Shipping (DSX +0.01%), whose balance sheet is much cleaner than Navios', has flexibility to take advantage of opportunities to expand and grab strategically important assets on the cheap. But Diana doesn't pay a dividend, while Navios has maintained a healthy yield for years, paying more than 5% right now.
For Navios to improve, it needs shipping rates to return to more normal levels. Whenever that happens, Navios should start getting a lot closer to perfection.
Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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