Dow May Open Flat as Pfizer Disappoints

LONDON -- Stock index futures at 7 a.m. EDT indicate that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) may open down by a nominal five points this morning, while the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) may open 1.5 points lower. Yesterday's record close for the S&P 500 seems to have helped the CNN Fear & Greed Index return to "greed" levels; the index closed at 59 yesterday, up from 42 one week ago.

In Europe, banks were this morning's star performers after Deutsche Bank, UBS, and Lloyds Banking Group all beat expectations with their first-quarter results. Lloyds reported profit of 2 billion pounds during the first quarter, up from 280 million pounds during the same period last year. In London, oil supermajor BP was also a strong performer, climbing 3.5% by 7:30 a.m. EDT after reporting underlying profit of $4.2 billion for the first quarter. The economic news was less good, as data showed that Spain's economy shrank by 0.5% in the first quarter of this year, while eurozone unemployment hit a new record of 12.1% in March.

In the U.S., today sees the publication of February's Case-Shiller home price index at 9 a.m. EDT, followed at 10 a.m. EDT by April's consumer confidence index. Consensus forecasts suggest that consumer confidence rose to 61.3 in April from 59.7 in March.

In corporate news, Pfizer (NYSE: PFE  ) missed expectations this morning and reported first-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.54 per share, a 7% fall from $0.58 per share for the same period last year and below analyst expectations of $0.56 per share. Pfizer's first-quarter sales fell 12% to $13.5 billion compared with $15.4 billion for the same period last year.

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide beat expectations with earnings of $0.76 per share on revenue of $1.54 billion, ahead of respective estimates of $0.53 and $1.47 billion. NYSE Euronext also had a successful first quarter, reporting adjusted earnings of $0.57 per share, up by 21% from the same period last year and ahead of expectations. Aetna raised its forecasts for 2013 after reporting a 7% rise in first-quarter revenue, while adjusted EPS rose to $1.50 from $1.34, ahead of analyst estimates of $1.39 per share.

Other stocks that could be actively traded when markets open include Herbalife, which increased its 2013 earnings guidance after beating expectations with its first-quarter results, which were released after markets closed last night. Herbalife expects that earnings will rise to $4.80 per share this year, up from its previous forecast of $4.65 per share.

Finally, let's not forget that the Dow's daily movements can add up to serious long-term gains. Indeed, Warren Buffett recently wrote, "The Dow advanced from 66 to 11,497 in the 20th Century, a staggering 17,320% increase that materialized despite four costly wars, a Great Depression and many recessions." If you, like Buffett, are convinced of the long-term power of the Dow, you should read "5 Stocks To Retire On." Your long-term wealth could be transformed, even in this uncertain economy. Simply click here now to download this free, no-obligation report.


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