Pfizer vs. UnitedHealth: Which Dow Stock's Dividend Dominates?

Dividend stocks outperform non-dividend-paying stocks over the long run. It happens in good markets and bad, and the benefit of dividends can be quite striking: Dividend payments have made up about 40% of the market's average annual return from 1936 to the present day. But few of us can invest in every single dividend-paying stock on the market, and even if we could, we might find better gains by being selective. That's why we'll be pitting two of the Dow Jones Industrial Average's (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) dividend payers against each other today to find out which Dow stock is the true dividend champion. Let's take a closer look at our two contenders now.

Tale of the tape
Pfizer
(NYSE: PFE  ) is a recent addition to the Dow, having only been part of the index for nine years. Hailing from New York City, Pfizer earned its spot by becoming the largest pharmaceutical company in the United States thanks to a multiyear surge in revenue. That isn't to say Pfizer was small before; it has always been on the vanguard of the modern pharmaceutical industry, which it helped to create with drug mass-production techniques and energetic sales operations.

UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH  ) is the Dow's most recent addition, and it will celebrate its first anniversary on the index in about two and a half months. Headquartered in the suburbs of Minneapolis, Minn., UnitedHealth is also the market leader in its field. It's the largest health insurer in the U.S., serving about 70 million Americans through a network of more than 700,000 physicians and other health care professionals.

Statistic

Pfizer

UnitedHealth

Market cap

$197 billion

$65.5 billion

P/E ratio

13.4

12.6

TTM profit margin

27%

4.7%

TTM free-cash-flow margin*

26.5%

3.1%

Five-year total return

80.3%

96.8%

Source: Morningstar and YCharts.
* Free cash flow margin is free cash flow divided by revenue for the trailing 12 months.

This might be a closer battle than you'd think, given big pharma's tendency toward high margins and high yields. UnitedHealth might not have that edge over Pfizer, but its lower valuations present it as a company with a potentially longer dividend growth runway. Will pills win out over premiums? Let's find out.

Round one: endurance
According to Dividata, Pfizer began paying dividends in 1982 and has been paying ever since. UnitedHealth comes in at an immediate disadvantage, as it was only founded five years before Pfizer started paying out -- and it does indeed come up short, as Dividata shows that UnitedHealth only began paying dividends in 1990, and it only switched from annual payouts to quarterly distributions in 2010.

Winner: Pfizer, 1-0

Round two: stability
Paying dividends is well and good, but how long have our two companies been increasing their dividends? The same dividend payout year after year can quickly fall behind a rising market, and there's no better sign of a company's financial stability than a rising payout in a weak market (so long as it's sustainable, of course). Pfizer slashed its dividend during the financial crisis, so it has only been raising payouts since 2010. UnitedHealth also began increasing its dividend in 2010 after a stretch of flat annual payouts, but the company has never cut its dividend. Because of this, it will earn the victory here.

Winner: UnitedHealth, 1-1

Round three: power
It's not that hard to commit to paying back shareholders, but are these payments enticing or merely token? Let's take a look at how both companies have maintained their dividend yields over time as their businesses and share prices grow:

PFE Dividend Yield Chart

PFE Dividend Yield data by YCharts.

Winner: Pfizer, 2-1

Round four: strength
A stock's yield can stay high without much effort if its share price doesn't budge, so let's take a look at the growth in payouts over the past few years. If you bought in several years ago and the company has grown its payout substantially, your real yield is likely to look much better than what's shown above.

PFE Dividend Chart

PFE Dividend data by YCharts.

Winner: UnitedHealth, 2-2

Round five: flexibility
A company needs to manage its cash wisely to ensure that there's enough available for tough times. Paying out too much of free cash flow in dividends could be a warning sign that the dividend is at risk, particularly if business weakens. This next metric analyzes just how much of their free cash flows our two companies have paid out in dividends over the past four quarters:

PFE Cash Div. Payout Ratio TTM Chart

PFE Cash Div. Payout Ratio TTM data by YCharts.

Winner: UnitedHealth, 3-2

In a surprise win, the low-margin health insurer comes out ahead of the high-yielding pharmaceutical giant. There's no doubt that shareholders have enjoyed great gains from both stocks in recent years, but a higher ceiling on potential dividend increases, combined with a fantastic recent history of such increases, puts UnitedHealth on top today. Would you rather invest in America's top pharmaceutical maker or its top health insurer? With Obamacare on the way to full implementation and a patent cliff on Pfizer's horizon, this could be a more difficult choice than many investors think.

When President Obama was re-elected, shares of UnitedHealth and other health insurers fell immediately. Is Obamacare a death knell for health insurers, or is the market missing out on some of the opportunities the law presents? In this brand-new premium report on UnitedHealth, The Motley Fool takes a long-term view, honing in on the prospects for UnitedHealth in a post-Obamacare world. So don't miss out -- simply click here now to claim your copy today.


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