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Las Vegas Recovery Finally Taking Hold

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Las Vegas is back, and it's just in time for some of the companies relying on a recovery. In May, the Las Vegas Strip saw gaming revenue climb 6.4%, to $505 million, and for the last year, revenue is up 4.3%, to $6.33 billion. 

This is in stark contrast to regional gaming, where casinos across the country are seeing revenue declines because of fierce competition. But Las Vegas plays a different game, drawing customers in for the party, and getting them to gamble while they're there. It's also more expensive to increase supply on the Las Vegas Strip, which has helped keep supply level since the financial crisis.

The next step
The top end of the market has been doing well over the past two years, and Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS  ) and Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN  ) have been the beneficiaries. Las Vegas Sands's Las Vegas revenue was up 7% in the first quarter, while Wynn's was up 6.6%. But MGM Resorts (NYSE: MGM  ) and Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ: CZR  ) haven't seen the same success in the lower end of the market.

MGM's domestic resorts saw just a 0.6% rise in revenue, and Mandalay Bay, The Mirage, Luxor, New York-New York, Excalibur, and Circus Circus all saw revenue decline. At Caesars, Las Vegas revenue was down 2.6%, and property EBITDA fell 6.3% in the first quarter. The top end of the market may still be driving revenue gains across The Strip, but with revenue up 6.4% in May, the second quarter should be much better.

Is this a long-term trend?
Are the dark days finally behind MGM and Caesars, which have the most riding on success in Las Vegas? I think MGM's road to recovery is well on its way, and its $13.9 billion in debt will actually provide positive leverage as The Strip's revenue recovers.

Caesars will also benefit, but $21.3 billion in debt is a lot to overcome, especially when over half of its business is in the faltering regional market. To make matters worse, the spinoff of online gaming, Planet Hollywood, and a project in Baltimore will put the "old" Caesars in terrible financial shape. 

The way to play Las Vegas today is with MGM, which is clearly a better growth company than Caesars, and has less debt to contend with.

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Read/Post Comments (1) | Recommend This Article (3)

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  • Report this Comment On July 19, 2013, at 4:24 PM, spokanimal wrote:

    The way to play vegas today is with MGM?

    Why do that when you can play Vegas better... and also participate in the Torrid growth of Singapore and China's Cotai Strip with Las Vegas Sands?

    If Sand's 7% Vegas growth is so much better than MGMs, then why not snag the 30% growth of Macau's mass gaming market and forget about Vegas?

    Strange article, yours.


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9/27/2016 4:00 PM
CZR $7.67 Down -1.79 -18.92%
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