Cartels Should Be An Investment Red Flag

Losing nearly a quarter of your investment in one trading day can't leave the best taste in your mouth, but that's exactly what many investors in fertilizer producers experienced on Tuesday. With news coming out of the Belarusian Potash Corporation, a cartel-like organization along the lines of OPEC, that its two key members would be splitting apart, companies like PotashCorp (NYSE: POT  ) plummeted more than 20%. 

Because the potential supply of potash is so much larger than current and forecast demand, the fact that Belaruskali and Uralkali will now be competing on price rather than keeping it artificially high through supply restrictions sent shivers through higher-cost producers' mines. Russian producers are notably lower on the cost curve than Canadian and other miners around the globe.

This is quite unfortunate for investors given that prices had finally appeared to turn the corner after many companies experienced record quarterly sales of the yield-boosting potash. So, while first-half statistics looked great and might have convinced a lot of new money to join the fold, boy does the remainder of 2013 look like rough sledding. For more on this topic, tune in to the video below.

Luckily there's still time to turn the year's returns around. That's why we invite you to check out our chief investment officer's selection for his No. 1 stock for this year. Even though we are over half way home, this stock still appears to have a lot of headroom. Find out which stock it is in the special free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013". Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.


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