This Stock Is Defying the Dow's Drop

Watch stocks you care about

The single, easiest way to keep track of all the stocks that matter...

Your own personalized stock watchlist!

It's a 100% FREE Motley Fool service...

Click Here Now

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over daily movements, we do like to keep an eye on market changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

Despite positive news on home prices and the trade deficit, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) is down following a Federal Reserve governor's comments on "tapering" -- i.e., the winding-down of the Fed's economy-stimulating asset purchases. As of 1:25 p.m. EDT the Dow is down 82 points, or 0.52%, to 15,530. The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) is down 0.46% to 1,699.

There were two U.S. economic releases today.





CoreLogic Home Price Index




Trade deficit


($34.2 billion)

($45 billion)

CoreLogic reported that home prices in the U.S. rose 1.9% in June. Over the past year, low inventory has pushed prices up 11.9%. Home prices have now increased for 16 consecutive months. July's growth moderated from May as a result of the large rise in mortgage rates.

US 30 Year Mortgage Rate Chart

US 30 Year Mortgage Rate data by YCharts.

CoreLogic CEO Anand Nallathambi had this to say: "The U.S. housing market experienced robust price appreciation during the first half of 2013 and our forecast calls for double-digit growth through July. Despite their rebound of late, home prices remain reasonable in a historical context, with most states near peak affordability levels."

While it's hard to say whether rising home prices are a good sign for the economy, a lower trade deficit is surely a good sign. Imports fell, and exports rose to bring the trade deficit sharply below last month's $45 billion and analyst expectations of $43 billion. This is the lowest trade deficit since 2009.

US Trade Deficit Chart

US Trade Deficit data by YCharts.

The better-than-expected trade deficit led some analysts to up their estimates of GDP. The advance estimate of Q2 GDP showed 1.7% growth, but some analysts believe this will be revised upward to 2% growth.

Nevertheless, the market is down today after Dennis Lockhart, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, said the Fed could taper its asset purchases at any of the next three FOMC meetings if it sees signs of stronger growth. Today's trade deficit is surely a sign of stronger growth, so it bodes poorly for the market -- in the short term, at least.

Today's Dow leader
Today's Dow leader is Disney (NYSE: DIS  ) , up 1.2% in anticipation of the company's earnings release, due after today's market close. Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $1.01 per share on revenue of $11.64 billion. Estimize's crowd-sourced estimates call for EPS of $1.03 on revenue of $11.7 billion. Although the company is expected to take a hit from its box-office flop The Lone Ranger and report weaker revenue in its television segment due to poor ratings for the NBA playoffs, ESPN is still one of the most valuable television stations in the world, and over the long term it will remain strong.

The television landscape is changing quickly, with new entrants like Netflix and disrupting traditional networks. The Motley Fool's new free report "Who Will Own the Future of Television?" details the risks and opportunities in TV. Click here to read the full report!

Read/Post Comments (0) | Recommend This Article (0)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 2581679, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 9/30/2016 8:07:32 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated Moments ago Sponsored by:
DOW 18,308.15 164.70 0.91%
S&P 500 2,168.27 17.14 0.80%
NASD 5,312.00 42.85 0.81%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

9/30/2016 5:01 PM
^DJI $18308.15 Up +164.70 +0.91%
^GSPC $2168.27 Up +17.14 +0.80%
S&P 500 INDEX CAPS Rating: No stars
DIS $92.86 Up +1.06 +1.15%
Walt Disney CAPS Rating: *****