Where on Earth is Our Propane Going?

The natural gas export debate remains pretty heated, especially with new export facilities being approved at a more rapid pace. At the same time, propane exports continue to slip out of the country with little fanfare. Where is all the propane going?

America is the propane export king
The U.S. is currently the world's top exporter of propane. It has surged past Middle Eastern rivals such as Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates to take the top spot at more than 70 million barrels. That's well ahead of last year's more than 55 million barrels.

The company leading this surge is Enterprise Products Partners (NYSE: EPD  ) . The midstream operator alone has exported nearly 60 million barrels of propane this year. It's not content with the status quo, either, continuing to ramp up export capacity and recently announcing another expansion at its LPG export facility in the Houston Ship Channel. The project, which won't be complete until 2015, adds another 1.5 million barrels per month of propane export capacity.

What's key here is that without Enterprise's export capacity, U.S. natural gas producers would be in trouble. As the following chart shows, without exports last year the U.S. would be significantly oversupplied with propane.

Source: Enterprise Products Partners Investor Presentation (link opens a PDF)

Failure to export propane would kill the economics of rich natural gas drilling. This is because propane makes up nearly 15% of the value of each Mcf of natural gas produced from a super rich gas well. An oversupply of propane would really slow down the drilling of liquids-rich natural gas drilling.

Where is it going?
Thankfully, there is plenty of propane demand worldwide that's able to take this supply. Most of our propane heads to South America for residential use, but a growing volume of it is making its way to Asia, especially Japan. Not only that but Marcellus propane will also soon be delivered to Europe.

That is because earlier this year Range Resources (NYSE: RRC  ) signed an agreement to have 20,000 barrels of propane per day shipped to Norway beginning in 2015. The propane will initially be processed at a MarkWest (NYSE: MWE  ) facility near Pittsburgh before flowing through the Mariner East pipeline, which is operated by Sunoco Logistics (NYSE: SXL  ) to Philadelphia for export by ship. Other big Marcellus gas producers could soon follow suit as the market for U.S. propane develops in Europe. That would further enhance the economics of MarkWest and Sunoco, which are investing heavily in infrastructure to process and transport Marcellus-sourced natural gas liquids like propane. 

On the other hand, one place U.S. propane is struggling to access is China. A recent example of this is Targa Resources (NYSE: TRGP  ) , which owns a propane export facility on the Houston Ship Channel and recently had talks with a Chinese buyer cease. Tougher laws made it easier for the buyer to get its propane from the Middle East. That said, there is plenty of demand elsewhere for Targa's exported volumes. Furthermore, Gulf Coast propane exports to Asia should get a boost when the Panama Canal widening is complete in 2015, which will lower transport time and cost.

Investor takeaway
Propane exports have enabled natural gas producers to get more value when drilling for liquids-rich natural gas. If it wasn't for exports, drillers might have had no choice but to turn off the capital flow directed at extracting additional liquids. Moves by Enterprise and Targa to add capacity will help put more propane into the global marketplace, which should keep the price of propane high enough to justify the drilling capital. That will keep the profits flowing for all the companies involved in the propane trade.

Propane is Just One Piece of America's Energy Bonanza

Surging propane exports are just part of the story that has record oil and natural gas production revolutionizing the United States' energy position. This revolution could really fuel your portfolio for years to come. That is why the Motley Fool is offering a comprehensive look at three energy companies set to soar during this transformation in the energy industry. To find out which three companies are spreading their wings, check out the special free report, "3 Stocks for the American Energy Bonanza." Don't miss out on this timely opportunity; click here to access your report -- it's absolutely free. 

 


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  • Report this Comment On September 30, 2013, at 3:49 PM, WWinDC wrote:

    Correction:

    This sentence "That is because earlier this year Range Resources (NYSE: RRC ) signed an agreement to have 20,000 barrels of propane per day shipped to Norway beginning in 2015." is wrong.

    Range signed a contract to deliver 20 kbbl/d of ethane, not propane, for liquefaction and shipment to INEOS' Rafnes ethylene cracker.

    As for Chinese demand, there's no need to worry about that either. They've got a whole slew of PDH facilities lined up for completion from this year through to the end of the decade. Even applying a serious discount to the feasability of most of those plants, whatever passes muster will significantly increase their propane demand, and they are looking at the US to fill it.

  • Report this Comment On October 02, 2013, at 10:06 AM, TMFmd19 wrote:

    In addition to what you mentioned Range is also shipping propane to Norway: http://breakingenergy.com/2013/04/22/ngls-to-be-exported-to-...

    "Ray Walker, Range’s Chief Operating Officer and Senior Vice President told Breaking Energy his company has a deal with Ineos to deliver 20,000 b/d of ethane and 20,000 b/d of propane to facilities in Norway beginning in 2015."

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