AMD’s Server Problems Worsen, But Is There Hope?

When Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD  ) launched its very first Opteron processor, it was an industry game changer. For the first time, not only did AMD -- Intel's (NASDAQ: INTC  ) much smaller competitor -- finally offer a meaningfully better product with respect to performance, power, and scalability, but it was rapidly gaining share against Intel. AMD caught Intel asleep at the wheel and took full advantage. However, Intel turned its server efforts around in a big way and took back the share that it lost -- and more. The question now is how well AMD's server efforts hold up today and whether things will get better or worse going forward.

Traditional server space going from bad to worse
In the traditional, higher-performance tiers of the server space, Intel's products are viewed as superior. The key metric used here is performance per watt per $0. Performance per watt is important because energy costs are a huge part of the cost of operating a data center, so a substantial lead in performance per watt allows a chip vendor to command a significant premium to competitors up front.

AMD's current Opteron line of products are competitive with the mid-range of Intel's older generation of Sandy Bridge-EP products on the basis of performance per watt per dollar, largely because AMD is willing to be very aggressive on price. But Intel's recently released Ivy Bridge EP processors -- which pack much more performance into the same or lower-power envelopes as the chips that they replace -- cause serious problems for AMD's offerings here. Indeed, AnandTech's recent review  of Intel's next-generation processors had this to say with respect to the competitive situation:

At the end of last year, AMD was capable of mounting an attack on the midrange Xeons by introducing Opterons based on the "Piledriver" core. That core improved both performance and power consumption, and Opteron servers were tangibly cheaper. However, at the moment, AMD's Opteron is forced to leave the midrange market and is relegated to the budget market. Price cuts will once again be necessary.

The bigger problem here is that while AMD can cut prices in a bid to maintain its marginal market share, Intel's cost of production for its latest chips are probably lower by virtue of the following facts:

  • Intel builds all of its chips in-house, while AMD has to pay GlobalFoundries' margins.
  • Intel's 22nm process allows for die sizes that are significantly smaller at every price point. For example, AMD's Opteron 6378-a 16-core, dual-die processor sells for just $860 for what is about 630mm^2 worth of silicon. Intel's much higher-performance, top-of-the-line Xeon E5 2697 v2-a 12-core, 24-thread part sells for $2,750 and only sports a die size of 541mm^2. The smaller die parts that AMD's Opteron actually goes up against are even cheaper to build. In short, Intel packs much more performance per unit of area than AMD can. 

How about micro-servers?
Much has been made about the rise of microservers -- servers focused on using as little power as possible for lightweight workloads. While the higher-end servers prioritize high performance with a drive to get those high performance levels in as small a power footprint as possible, microservers aim for a much lower power level. The goal is to achieve as much performance as possible within those much lower power constraints. This is an area that ARM and its licensees, such as AMD, Applied Micro Circuits (NASDAQ: AMCC  ) , and Calxeda have been touting as their big opportunity to disrupt Intel's dominance. 

AMD made an interesting move in 2012 by acquiring microserver vendor SeaMicro, which gave AMD the interconnect fabric required to connect all of the resources in a given system, usually either targeted at computing or storage. While AMD offers variants of its SeaMicro systems with its own home-grown Opteron processors, the ones that seem to be selling -- including the most recently publicized deal with Verizon (NYSE: VZ  ) -- seem to be the Intel-based ones, although AMD does claim that even the recent Verizon deal involved some systems with AMD processors. 

The problem, unfortunately, is that while AMD's road map calls for its first competitive, ARM-based microserver part to sample during the first half of 2014 for production in the second half, Intel's recently released C2000 series of microserver chips based on the firm's latest Silvermont processor design are here today with 64-bit support, full compatibility with the wide gamut of X86 server software, and built on the very power-efficient 22-nanometer process. AMD's second half of 2014 parts, code-named Hierofalcon, will be built on Taiwan Semiconductor's 28nm process. These parts will go up against Intel's 14nm Denverton and Broadwell parts by launch, so the competitive situation from performance, power, and cost gets no better with these new chips -- in fact, being two generations behind in process technology is even worse. 

AMD has a long way to go
Make no mistake, AMD has a very long way to go before it can become a real contender in the server space again. It's still fighting against a competitor hell-bent to preserve its market share, and many of the disadvantages that it had with its "big cores" don't go away in the "small core" space. Be very careful before buying the AMD server story. 

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  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 6:15 AM, sags82 wrote:

    i think you are confused.

    "the ones that seem to be selling -- including the most recently publicized deal with Verizon (NYSE: VZ ) -- seem to be the Intel-based ones, although AMD does claim that even the recent Verizon deal involved some systems with AMD processors."

    it wasnt AMD that claimed that.it was John Considine, chief technology officer at Verizon Terremark. so you may want to correct that in your opinion piece. or maybe it was done on purpose to confuse the masses.

  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 6:16 AM, sags82 wrote:

    the exact quote is "Verizon was not interested in the most energy-efficient SeaMicro servers that were its initial hallmark, which are powered by the Atom chips that Intel sells for smartphones and small laptops, Considine says. It instead is using models powered by more-powerful processors, including both Intel Xeons and AMD Opterons."

  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 8:35 AM, viperciara wrote:

    AMD’s Server Problems Worsen, But Is There Hope? Your title seams to mean they are having SERVER PROBLEMS! But maybe I did not understand because I see them having NO server problems! So are you trying to FOOL everybody into dumping there stock by your misleading title???????????

  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 9:37 AM, Jberglive wrote:

    I have to agree, this is a manipulative article with a manipulative title. I don't even have actual AMD stock, so I'm not even bias, I just like to keep abreast of the semi-conductor sector, and I had to chuckle at how blatant a bash and twisted opinion this article was. I think the author is desperate to get in before the earnings report.

  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 10:45 AM, prginww wrote:

    Comparison to Janet Yellen Ban Bernanke look hawkish.

    Go Tee Party! Down Harry Reid! Tee Party Republican is right Democrats are wrong Barack Obama & government bureaucracy spend too much money on worker expense. If I get send home from work I don’t get paid retroactive why should government employee and bureaucracy be paid, this is discrimination crime against honest worker that bear the burden to pay for everything. Barack Obama & Harry Reid are “Giant Ponzi Scheme” criminals.

    You can't be Senator or Congressman for life we need to change the low and apply the same principal for Senator and Congressman who President have to terms in the office and no one day more, if we don’t do that we will never have thru democracy.

    Ben Bernanke “Giant Ponzi Scheme” know precisely there is no exist without big Consequences so hi is stein put and will let new Chairman to deal with his mass. This is a pure crime. Scam bag is always a scam bag!

    Federal Reserve comity and Ben Bernanke “Giant Ponzi Scheme” .When we have bad economic data market is going up on speculation Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will kip printing money. When we have god economic data market is going up speculation Bernanke is steel printing? This entire look like exuberance sign of market is in the crash mod and will burst 1000 down ward point any second. Bernanke ruin billions and billions of ordinary people’s lives with kipping interest zero in favor of Banks and Speculators Bernanke committed the biggest crime to humanity The Biggest Ponzi Scheme Ever. Bernanke is a Scam bag! Communist was using seam principals like Fed Bernanke (printing money for ever), and day collapsed next is USA to Collapse, because off arrogant sociopath Ban Bernanke. Printing money is poor pyramid scams, artificial unreal! Every pyramid scam crash everybody loses regular investor watch out doesn’t fall in to the trap. A record breaking stock market is distorting a frightening reality: The U.S. is being eaten alive by a horrific cancer that will ultimately destroy the economy and impoverish the vast majority of its citizens. Despite "phony" signs of an economic recovery, the cancer destroying America stems from a lethal concoction of our $16 trillion federal debt and the Fed's never ending money printing. Currently, Bernanke and company is buying $1 trillion of Treasury and mortgage bonds a year. That's about $85 billion per month against a budget deficit that is about the same level. These numbers are unsustainable. And the Fed has no credible "exit strategy."

    IN Real Capitalism markets get regulated (take care) by itself, most innovative smart and honest survives; weak crooks and cheater lose natural selection. Not selection by bunch of Federal Reserve Bureaucratic crooks that favors one side or other for personal gain.

  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 11:58 AM, kiiken wrote:

    I'm pretty sure this is the same Ashraf Eassa that would always post negative stuff about AMD on Seeking Alpha's site right before financials are due to be announced. Here it is a week before they announce earnings and I've already seen two articles this week by Ashraf blasting AMD on this site.

  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 1:24 PM, Jberglive wrote:

    Wow, you're right kiiken, just cross referenced!

    Hahaha, this Author is so blatantly a pumper/basher. What an ugly life to lead.

    Well, regardless, I take this stuff pretty lightly so I appreciate the chuckles.

  • Report this Comment On October 10, 2013, at 1:38 PM, jpanspac wrote:

    Ok. all you Ashraf bashers. Do any of you have any facts or rational arguments to counter his article, or are you just AMD fanboys?

  • Report this Comment On October 11, 2013, at 5:47 AM, sags82 wrote:

    the fact he claims amd said opterons were going to be used, when it was actually John Considine, chief technology officer at Verizon Terremark. thats some pretty importants facts that he choose to ignore, and not even fix in his opinion piece 2 days after i pointed it out.

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