iPhone to Become No. 1 Smartphone in China?

Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) market share in China was bound to increase with the launch of its new iPhone models in the country. But the extent of the rebound in market share was less certain. As it turns out, the new models are doing extremely well in China, according to just-released data from Counterpoint Research -- better than the iPhone 5 did when it first launched, in fact.

iPhone 5s. Source: Apple website.

Headed to the top?
By model, the iPhone 5s is already the top-selling phone globally, according to Counterpoint Research. That holds true in the important U.S. and Japan markets, too. In China, however, Apple is still lagging.

But here's the big news: Apple isn't doing so bad in China post-iPhone 5s and 5c launch. Counterpoint's data, which estimates sales (not shipments), shows Apple's market share of smartphones soaring from just 3% in September to a whopping 12% in October. That puts Apple in third place among smartphone manufacturers in China, up from sixth place in September. Even more, Samsung, with market share of about 18% of smartphone shipments in October, isn't too far ahead of Apple anymore.

China Mobile, too
Keep in mind, none of this data is yet affected by Apple's new arrangement with the world's largest carrier, China Mobile, to finally sell its iPhones on the network for the first time.

The imminent official announcement from China Mobile, rumored to take place on Dec. 18, comes simultaneously with the easing of supply constraints in Apple's supply chain. First reflected in full availability of the iPhone 5s in its retail stores in the U.S., channel improvement is also now evident in Apple's estimated shipping time of "Within 24 hours" for all capacities and colors for carrier-enabled versions of the iPhone 5s. Apple's always improving supply chain is perhaps poised to deliver record iPhones just in time for one of the most important carrier launches outside the United States.

With the help of China Mobile and easing supply, Counterpoint research believes that the irrefutably impressive demand for the new iPhone models could probably help Apple take the top spot in December or January -- ousting Samsung from its long held kingship over the China smartphone market.

It's an important market
Though Apple doesn't extrapolate China specifically in its operating data, it does provide data for Greater China, which includes China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. In Apple's fourth quarter, this region accounted for 15% of Apple's revenue. If Apple continues its solid China iPhone sales in October through the rest of fiscal Q1, as Counterpoint Research projects, Apple's largest and most profitable product segment may send this small yet meaningful portion of Apple's total revenue soaring. Triple-digit sequential iPhone sales growth in the region for the quarter is beginning to look realistic.

Greater China growth would be welcomed warmly by Apple investors. In Q4, Greater China revenue was up just 6% from the year-ago quarter. Could soaring iPhone sales in China reignite Apple's Greater China growth rates?

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Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2013, at 11:35 AM, DanManners wrote:

    How can you be so wrong. Sam Mattera said Apple will die soon without subsidies and that they are all going away. I bet Sam thinks you don't know anything and that Sam is always right.

    Better start buying Android or you will have an iPhone with a company that is out of business.

    Sam Materra get a life.

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2013, at 12:08 PM, CaptUSA wrote:

    Market share is not what matters. It is MARGINS that matter. Premium brands should never chase market share.

    Long Apple.

  • Report this Comment On December 14, 2013, at 3:11 PM, skyisfalling wrote:

    All this good stuff about Apple make me feel dizzy. How about some Mr. Tom Saughnessy or Mr.Ashraf Eassa or even some Mr. Trainor ( I am not sure about the spelling) interjected somewhere here. There has to be some negative news around the corner!

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2013, at 11:56 PM, tychicum wrote:

    DanManners you are a paid shill. Give it up. 10 Cents a post is chump change ...

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