This Trend in Transportation Is Good News for Leasers

What's the outlook for GATX, TAL International Group, and Ryder System?

Jan 6, 2014 at 11:22AM

The slow but steady economic recovery in the U.S. can be witnessed in the transportation market. Stronger demand for railroad, truck, and maritime operators has enabled companies to realize increasing volume and higher pricing this last year, boosting their earnings. But many of these companies lease a big percentage of the equipment they use (railroad cars, containers, semis, etc.), opening business opportunities for other companies that rent it. Let's take a look at three different leasers that operate in transportation, one with major operations for trucks and vehicles, another with interests in railroads, and a third involved in leasing freight containers.

Good performance
First, here's one of the world's largest providers of integrated logistics and transportation solutions, Ryder System (NYSE:R).

The company's third quarter was an improvement over last year. Operating revenue grew 5% and total revenue is up 4% on the back of solid commercial rental results and double-digit revenue growth from its supply chain solutions business. 

Ryder System still enjoys good organic growth levels. The company's fleet management solutions segment will experience improved offerings in contractual product lines with a newer lease fleet and various maintenance initiatives. Moreover, used vehicle sales will continue to increase, with stable pricing and solid inventories. Further, its recent €30 million multi-year contract with the German Ministry of Defense to supply vehicles should help maintain a healthy cash flow.

In March 2013, the company relaunched its dedicated contract carriage segment, which provides equipment, maintenance, and administrative services of a full lease with drivers and additional services. This complete service offering allows for higher use of the company's capacity and will help increase earnings looking ahead.

Railcars driving growth
Second, we have GATX (NYSE:GMT), which leases, operates, and manages assets in rail, marine and industrial equipment markets. It controls one of the largest railcar fleets in the world, and the largest fleet of U.S. flagged self-unloading vessels on the great lakes.

The company's third-quarter net income was flat compared with the prior-year quarter. Nonetheless, it was benefited by the renewal rate change of GATX's lease price index to 34.3%.

Considering that GATX's rail segment accounts for 75% of revenue, the company should benefit from better perspectives within the railway industry in North America. In fact, its rail segment in the region reported a profit of $57.9 million for the quarter, up 27% year over year.

Overall, the company should profit from strong lease renewal activities and continued growth in lease rates looking forward. However, inconsistent demand for marine transport services and regulatory issues are a factor of concern.

Finally, we have TAL International Group (NYSE:TAL), one of the world's oldest and largest lessors of intermodal freight containers, serving every major shipping line in the world.

TAL reported a good third quarter, with leasing revenues of $143.9 million, up 6.4% year over year, and a utilization rate of 97.3%.

With a purchase of $620 million in new and sale-leaseback containers, the company continues to expand its business even further. Plus, considering that over 75% of its containers on-hire are on multi-year long-term or finance leases, a good return is secured.

However, after a low single-digit trade growth in 2013, forecasts project global containerized trade to grow around 4% in 2014. Hence, the company should still profit, but it is hard to expect record growth.

Bottom line
Ryder System will continue to deliver good earnings and revenue growth. But its dedicated services business in particular should continue to expand, driven by secular outsourcing trends and sales initiatives.

Regarding GATX, railroads will continue showing good performance in North America throughout 2014, boosting the company's earnings.

TAL International continues to show high equipment utilization and strong operational and financial performance. The company should benefit even more in the event of higher trade growth in 2014.

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