Shares of BB&T Look Expensive -- Should You Stay Away?

With solid credit and improving expenses, BB&T is looking for a better year as 2014 goes on.

Jan 22, 2014 at 9:57AM


Southeast regional banking giant BB&T (NYSE:BBT) has never been particularly worried about quarter-to-quarter performance, as this typically conservative bank runs itself for the long haul.

Even so, while BB&T's recent earnings report was underwhelming, the bank's net interest income trailed peers like JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), and Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) -- only improving credit and good expense management kept the bank from losing too much ground.

Typically a Rodney Dangerfield-esque stock that long didn't seem to get its due, BB&T's stock doesn't look all that cheap right now. BB&T is still a solid stock to hold as a long-term core holding, but Fools may find better value in JPMorgan or Wells Fargo today. Here's why.

Its core isn't that strong
There wasn't much reason to think that this was going to be a strong quarter for BB&T, but the bank nevertheless disappointed a bit on its revenue, particularly its net interest income.

Net interest margin contracted a little more than management had previously expected.

Revenue declined slightly on a sequential basis, trailing those three comps that had previously reported. Net interest income fell 4% on a 12bp decline in net interest margin, while fee income rose 5% on a good result in the insurance business.

Like JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo, BB&T saw a sizable year-on-year decline in mortgage banking revenue (down 57%).

Solid credit, soft lending
BB&T did pretty well with its credit this quarter, and that helped to counterbalance the net interest income and expense disappointments.


Source: BB&T.

JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America all saw better than 20% year-on-year declines in non-performing loans, but BB&T's fell 32%. With that, the bank's non-performing asset ratio plunged to 0.92%, well ahead of its peer group, and the NCO ratio dropped almost by half, to under 0.7%.

Non-covered loan growth was disappointing, up just 1% this quarter. Where other banks are seeing a pick-up in commercial and industrial lending, BB&T's loan growth and guidance for the next quarter were soft. While that sounds sub-optimal, this could be a result of BB&T being more selective.

Since competition for C&I lending has heated up and the credit quality is not improving at the same rate, some of these banks reporting stronger loan growth may pay for it later in terms of charge-offs.

Building for the long haul
Even if lending conditions are so-so today, BB&T is playing the long-term game. The bank recently acquired 21 branches in Texas from Citigroup, paying a relatively modest 4.25% deposit premium for $1.2 billion in deposits.


Source: BB&T. CEO Kelly King.

These branches were non-core to Citi and have substandard loan-to-deposit ratios, but the deal does boost BB&T from 35th to 20th in deposit share in Texas -- and for a reasonable price (something that has historically been tough to do in Texas).

Despite this deal, BB&T may not be done with Texas. BB&T should get some scale benefits from this acquisition, but at just 0.5% deposit share, BB&T is a minor player in the state compared to JPMorgan (19% share), Wells Fargo (over 14% share), and Bank of America (over 12%) share.

The bottom line
The first half of 2014 could be sluggish for BB&T, but the bank has nice leverage to an economic recovery in the Southeast, not to mention its comparatively high NIM, its low-cost deposit base, and its large insurance operations. The company's focus on specialty lending (equipment finance, etc.) and its strong focus on core banking operations (as opposed to prop trading, etc.) is also a plus.

All of that said, it's just not a tremendous bargain today. Given BB&T's returns on equity and its price today, investors may have a hard time earning a market-beating return.

With a history of good risk management and generous dividend policies, the shares could deserve a spot on the watchlist of an investor who's hungry to get a good business at a slightly better price.

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Stephen D. Simpson, CFA, owns shares of JPMorgan and BB&T. The Motley Fool recommends Bank of America and Wells Fargo. The Motley Fool owns shares of Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

A Financial Plan on an Index Card

Keeping it simple.

Aug 7, 2015 at 11:26AM

Two years ago, University of Chicago professor Harold Pollack wrote his entire financial plan on an index card.

It blew up. People loved the idea. Financial advice is often intentionally complicated. Obscurity lets advisors charge higher fees. But the most important parts are painfully simple. Here's how Pollack put it:

The card came out of chat I had regarding what I view as the financial industry's basic dilemma: The best investment advice fits on an index card. A commenter asked for the actual index card. Although I was originally speaking in metaphor, I grabbed a pen and one of my daughter's note cards, scribbled this out in maybe three minutes, snapped a picture with my iPhone, and the rest was history.

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I love the exercise, because it makes you think about what's important and forces you to be succinct.

So, here's my index-card financial plan:


Everything else is details. 

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