Israel’s Oil Platforms in Jeopardy and the Samson Syndrome

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Are Hezbollah and Israel preparing for the next war? Everything seems to indicate that they are, despite the fact that all logic dictates that they should not.

A number of intelligence sources who make it their business to monitor Hezbollah are saying that the Lebanese Shi'ite organization is preparing for its next war with Israel.

The sources maintain that in recent weeks there has been disturbing news coming out from south Lebanon indicating that the risk of a renewed showdown between Hezbollah and the Israeli army is growing.

According to a Wall Street Journal report last month, Hezbollah has successfully smuggled and disbursed more than 100,000 rockets, advanced anti-aircraft, anti-ship, and surface to surface missiles into Lebanon.

The same report claims that the Lebanese militia smuggled and dispersed 100,000 rockets and missiles throughout military installations in South Lebanon.

Still according to the same report, Hezbollah officials have taken to bragging that they can saturation bomb Israeli population centers. And Iranian officials boasted that the group can strike anywhere in Israel with pinpoint accuracy.

Israel's offshore oil platforms are thought to be particularly vulnerable. The Lebanese March 14 movement has criticized Hezbollah claiming they are trying to open a new front with Israel in the Mediterranean Sea.

Israel meanwhile has threatened that the next campaign will be "broad" in response to Hezbollah's preparations.

Indeed one may wonder why Hezbollah already, caught up in the Syrian civil war would be itching to ignite yet another front, this one much closer to home in South Lebanon where the majority of towns and villages are Shi'ite, therefore making it easier for Israel to pressure the Lebanese militant group.

Also, targeting Israel's offshore oil platforms will set a precedent in this dangerous escalation of violence in the Middle East, and place in jeopardy Lebanon's future oil ventures in the Eastern Mediterranean.

Opening a new front in south Lebanon would certainly not be advantageous to Hezbollah nor to Lebanon, however it would benefit Syria, if things started to go bad for President Bashar Assad in Damascus. An escalation of violence along the Lebanese-Israeli border will automatically drag Israel into Syria's civil war, and in so doing would force Washington to intervene in the conflict.

Under such a scenario South Lebanon would become inundated by the plethora of Islamists jihadi groups currently fighting in Syria, all chomping at the bits, eager to have a go at Israel now that they have a direct border with the Jewish state. The big difference in Israel's border with Lebanon, as opposed to those with Syria, where Israeli and Syrian forces on the Golan Heights are separated by several miles of no man's land, and even Gaza is a small distance from Israeli settlements, in northern Israel the Jewish settlements, hamlet, cities are just a few vulnerable yards from Lebanese soil and from Hezbollah fighters, and in the near future quite possibly close to groups such as al-Qaida, Islamic State of Iraq and Syria and the Chechen and other Muslim Europeans and their allies.

In the end, President Bashar Assad would have kept his promise to turn the region into a hell and drag everyone down with him. It's the Samson syndrome.

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  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 12:43 PM, merlyn645 wrote:

    "In the end, President Bashar Assad would have kept his promise to turn the region into a hell and drag everyone down with him. It's the Samson syndrome."

    I believe the origin of the Samson syndrome is from Israel, who claims that if they are overrun militarily, they will unleash all of their 200 nukes from their six submarines and other launch platform.

    Let's give credit where credit is due.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 12:45 PM, merlyn645 wrote:

    The Samson Syndrome?

    That is an Israeli option, expressing their intent to launch all of its nuke in the event they feel they are losing a war. They want to light up the Middle East as they go down in flames.

    Aren't you happy that we have supported Israel all these years?

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 12:53 PM, crazy0676 wrote:

    Do unto them before they do unto you!! the middle east is just A keg of dynamite waiting to explode it is just A matter of time before one of these idiots just fires A nuklear weapon talk is cheap and Isreal is getting tired of all of the threats!! Iran,North Korea,China,Syria,Africa,Russia,Iraq,Take your pick which one will be first?

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 12:53 PM, JimWherry1 wrote:

    Hezbollah has been "preparing for its next war with Israel" since the 1980's. They firmly intend to never make peace or permit peace with Israel.

    I don't think, however, that Hezbollah wants the USA to intervene in the syrian civil war: they already haver Iran firmly on their side. America (SEC Kerry) has expressed the absolute position that Syria will be "a Syria without Bashir al-Assad."

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 12:54 PM, crazy0676 wrote:

    Dont forget Pakistan and Afghanistan too

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 12:55 PM, JimWherry1 wrote:

    Merlyn645: since the conquest of Israel would end with the murder or explusion of every single Jew by the Arabs (see 1948 for details), Israel "taking everyone else with them" would seem reasonable. What did you think they should do? "Just lay down and die?"

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 12:59 PM, merlyn645 wrote:

    We seem to forget that Israel was a nation carved out of Arab land in 1947. The UN GAVE land to European Jews and forced hundreds of thousands of Arabs out of their homes and cities so Israel could be created.

    Not content with that gift, Israel has been building settlements in Palestinian land, in effect gobbling land that was never given to them.

    Is it any wonder Arabs dislike Israel?

    Hezbollah kicked Israel's rear a few years ago in southern Lebanon and Israel needs to remember that before winding up for another war.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 1:00 PM, merlyn645 wrote:

    JimWherry, I think they ought to move back to Russia, Poland and eastern Europe where they came from.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 1:04 PM, merlyn645 wrote:

    Israel is now populated mostly by Ashkenazim Jews, converts to Judaism. They left Poland, Russia and eastern Europe so they get American welfare in Israel. We send billions of dollars each year to prop up Israel, a tiny nation of around 7 million people. These Ashkenazim are no more Jewish than my cat is. The real Jews of Israel are the Sephardic Jews, the Jews of the Bible. They number less than a million and have lived in harmony with Arabs for thousands of years.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 1:08 PM, airjackie wrote:

    With many Middle East nations looking for Peace and Israel upset with the US for not bombing Iran it's time to try another way to start War. Now with all the talk of Hezbollah ships/weapons nothing is mentioned about Israel's thousands of Nuclear Weapons and the Dome Shield. Yes the need for War is moving forward as Iran/Palestine look to peace. No mention of how the Saudi's asked Israel for weapons and then Pakistan say they would sell some Nukes to the Saudi's. This conflict is about oil rich land and Israel wants the US to get it for them. Netanyahu promised his supporters and Bush, McCain and Romney did promise Israel the US would bomb Iran.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 1:14 PM, smallworld wrote:

    How did the author come up with " al-Qaida, Islamic State of Iraq and Syria and the Chechen and other Muslim Europeans and their allies" This is the dumbest statement I have ever heard. Hizballah is absolutely opposed to these groups. Lots of speculation and few facts.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 1:17 PM, JimWherry1 wrote:

    Hez-bi-Satan has been murdering U.S. Soldiers in the middle east for decades. They, along with the Badr Brigades and the Syrian Secret Police smuggled IED's and EFP's into Iraq. As a result, literally thousands of U.S. Soldiers were murdered and ten's of thousands maimed for life in Iran's "secret war" against the U.S. Both the Bush and the Obama administration accused Iran of these actions, so it's not a "Left" or "Right" thing.

    Glad to see Hez-bi-Satan finally get their come-up'in's, though I'd rather not see any injuries to Israelis who have NOT declared war against the United States - unlike Hez-bi-Satan.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 1:27 PM, JimWherry1 wrote:

    Merlyn, your demographic non-sense about Israel is undermined by a simple check with wikipedia. There are about 2.7 million Ashkanezi Jews and 2.7 million sephardic and mizrahi Jews from the middle east. All of them are Jews and entitled to take advantage of Israel's "right of return."

    You seem to forget the 800,000 Jews driven out of the Arab states during the 1947-48 pogroms against Jews. You also forget the Muslim Ottoman Empire's proscription from selling land to Jews, or the fact that the Jews of Hebron had been under a horrible proscription since the late 1700's as a collective punishment for the wrong of some group member. Persecution of Christians and Jews came in waves, century after century under Islam.

    Your comment is simply an attempt to "delegitimize" the Jewish presence in Israel. Frankly, I don't care where they "came from." Most Israelis these days were "born there."

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 1:53 PM, mv1scott wrote:

    I was in Israel 5 years ago doing A job on their oil platform (as in one platform) is very well guarded and I doubt if anyone could get close enough to do any damage to it. I will not discuss platform security on this blog but trust me when I say don't get to close. Also for security reasons from what I understand is that any new platforms will be sub-sea so if there are any attacks they would have to be very sophisticated and well financed. From an investment point of view I would not be to concerned about production down time.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 3:08 PM, lking5138 wrote:

    My understanding is that Israel has a military doctrine that is based in the Masada episode in so-called "Jewish" history. You can look it up online.

    Anyway, the "Jews" at Masada were surrounded, as I understood. They were in a situation that was suicidal, since there was no way out.

    My understanding is that, if Israel feels that it's about to be destroyed, it's going to attempt to destroy NOT ONLY the enemy, but the entire world. That might be an exaggeration (sounds like it), but that's what I've heard.

    And, supposedly, it comes from the Masada episode in "Jewish" history. I think that Masada was the name of a mountaintop. And a seige was placed upon Masada, so that there was no escape for its inhabitants. It was fight and die, or NOT fight and die anyway.

    I can't remember the exact historical episode, but you can look it up.

    Well, the bottom line is that, it's ISRAEL that the world has to worry about, not Hezbollah. Israel CREATED Hezbollah, in the sense that Israel, in its arrogance, believed that it could persecute people FOREVER, and that no one could do anything about it.

    But Hezbollah fought Israel, and won--twice, I think. In addition, Iran sent Hezbollah a sophisticated drone. Hezbollah's engineers assembled it, and then sent it flying through Israel's so-called "impregnable" defence system, all the way to Dimona, hovering over Israel's nukes.

    What Hezbollah and Iran are trying to do (in my opinion) is give Israe a HINT: "Look, dude, it's a new day. Come to terms with us."

    Israel is a vicious, belligerent, warring, insane, and arrogant entity. So, unfortunately, it looks as if the nukes are going to fly.

    One problem though: Who are they going to drop the nukes ON? It's a TIGHT area. Whoever they drop the nukes on, the radiation is going to come back to Israel and bit them in the ass.

    Israel should just learn how to live in peace with its neighbors. The day of dominance, for Israel, is FAST coming to a close.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 3:15 PM, allymcnally wrote:

    It seems many posting here need a history less, or a current events lesson. Jews have been on Israeli land for thousands of years so those claiming Israel was made from Arab land need a 4th grade history lesson. Yes, the Samson option is generally associated with an Israeli policy that if Israel is on the brink of destruction they will use nuclear weapons. The issue there is that it has never been confirmed that Israel HAS nuclear weapons and that if anyone thinks a country on the brink of destruction should do otherwise then I highly recommend they have their mental faculties checked out. And if anyone is actually defending Hezbllah then they need to get themselves over to Gaza and join the terrorists because anyone supporting an internationnaly recognized terrorists group is just that. A terrorist.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 3:16 PM, lking5138 wrote:

    PREDICTION: This prediction is going to be viewed as naieve at best, and hallucinatory at worst. But, here goes.

    Israel will be INCAPACITATED, and unable to unleash its nukes. Two entities on this earth are going to CAPTURE the area where Israel keeps its nukes, and render them unusable.

    There are entities that have the patience of Job (and more). They've been patiently checking Israel's number for decades. They move on THEIR terms, not Israel's.

    They are SMART--smarter than Israel's insane leaders; smarter than any portion of Israel's military. Something new has happened, both in terms of human character, and ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY, and I am NOT talking about from outer space.

    I'm talking about ordinary human beings, within two entities, that have Israel's number. Actually, there's a third entity--China--but China figured out Israel's power back in the early 1990s.

    So, Israel needs to just create itself [and the Palestinians won't like my saying this] as one democratic country, where everybody lives in peace with each other.

    A "two-state" solution, in such a tiny area, is RIDICULOUS. Israel and the Palestinians must UNITE. And Israel must end its culture of dominance, and learn to work with Palestinians, and others, to create a democratic Israel, and end the racist, apartheid Israel that exists at the moment.

    I suspect that there are WISE Israeli leaders who can see the handwriting on the walls, and who know the two entities that I am speaking of. I hope that they will be able to convince the other Israeli leaders to carefully map out a new Israel, and a new Middle East, before it gets REALLY crazy there.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 3:26 PM, jfelano wrote:

    Wow this is big news lol. They have been preparing since the day the last one ended duh.

    Now would be the best possible time for Israel to pre-emptively strike and invade Lebanon and remove all these missiles while they are caught off guard.

    Hezbollah is stretched thin in Syria and probably very low on cash and supplies and since Iran is nearly bankrupt and Syria has been fighting a war for a long time, both are too cash strapped to finance Hezbollah at this time.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 3:47 PM, yoki wrote:

    Israel created their own problems thinking the

    world is to stupid to figure them out...its only a

    matter of time and they will be wiped off the map.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 4:22 PM, chelsey wrote:

    I have a suggestion to promote peace in the Middle East: As a gesture of goodwill, Israel can offer to steal more land from the Palestinians, build houses and then give those houses to immigrants from Russia.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 4:56 PM, Herbstmd wrote:

    I am stunned at all these antiSemitic notions and propaganda in the Motley Fool. There is no place for this here. Israel is the only democracy in the Middle East. It is the only nation in the world ever to have gone into Africa to free the persecuted and bring them to liberation. It is the place in the Middle East where 1.7 million Arabs have the most civil rights. It is the place where the Baha'is came to when they escaped Muslim Iran. And it is the national homeland of the Jewish people who persecuted by the Muslim world as well as the Christian now again after two millennia, have a place of their own and one of the worlds best armed forces to insure its sovereignty. Israelis are lovers of America, and not too many places say that. I say thank G-d for the survival of my wife's family who were all in the concentration camps to witness this day of our freedom. Never Again! Am Yisroel Chai!

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 6:33 PM, BenElias wrote:

    Merlynn...Perhaps it was alright for Americans to take lands from the natives here, but it wasn't alright for the Jews who were destroyed by the Nazis to have a place to go as the Bible states...Sounds like hypocrisy personified...

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 6:49 PM, StraightCommo wrote:

    When were Hezbollah and Israel 'not' preparing for War?

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 6:52 PM, StraightCommo wrote:

    Wait, That was back when it was called the P.L.O. during the Carter-Begin-Sadat deal huh. We see how all of that went...Not so great.

  • Report this Comment On February 05, 2014, at 6:53 PM, geofly wrote:

    Fact: The Israelis are there to stay. Might as well make peace and be prosperous side by side. But that isn't the Arab or Islamic way is it?

  • Report this Comment On February 06, 2014, at 12:02 AM, fingerlakes54 wrote:

    Did anyone notice that US Involvement is mentioned in this story? " and Washington would be forced to intervene". We went through this with the Syrian situation--remember? The American People do not want any involvement in that area anymore. We are not going to go to war for Israel. They need to find someone else to fight their wars. Israel should not expect that the people of the USA will turn our military loose for them. We will give moral support.

  • Report this Comment On February 06, 2014, at 8:12 AM, sailorman68 wrote:

    With regards to the fact that both Hezbollah and Israel are today faced with a common enemy namely the extremist rebels , it is of utmost importance that now at this point Hazbollah and Israel from this day on form an alliance and brotherhood with one another and become united against a vicious uncompromising enemy in order to insure their prosperity and safety both short and long term .Let these two be united brothers protecting eachother from this day on .

  • Report this Comment On February 06, 2014, at 9:50 AM, wtbutcher wrote:

    All of the parties involved in this festering conflict are insane from their ancient hatreds. Regardless of the consequences the U.S.A. should extricate itself from the region until they can prove they are willing to join the other civilized nations of the world. I have no doubt that after they fight it out there will be someone left who is willing to sell us oil.

  • Report this Comment On February 06, 2014, at 11:11 AM, larudee wrote:

    Even Hezbollah cannot disburse 100,000 rockets. It is more likely that they will disperse them.

  • Report this Comment On February 06, 2014, at 12:04 PM, smallworld wrote:

    Israel is a democracy only for the Israeli Jews if you are an Arab forget it. Why do they continue to occupy arab land and continue their war mongering?

  • Report this Comment On February 06, 2014, at 5:07 PM, lking5138 wrote:

    Democracy? Did someone call Israel a DEMOCRACY? YIKES!!

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