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Consumers Paying More As Nat-Gas Cash Prices Spike

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As natural gas prices climb, reaching over $5/mcf again on Feb. 4, and with an unseasonably cold winter, local utilities say that natural gas customers' bills are 30%-40% higher now than last winter.

Last week, we saw natural gas prices rise above $5 for the first time in three years, then falling back a bit only to rise again on Feb. 4, with March futures trading above $5.25/mcf -- or more than 6%, according to expert trader Dan Dicker.

Customers are footing the bill for higher gas prices and the coldest November-January period in four years in the Midwest and Northeast.

In Omaha, Neb., weather has been about 30% colder this year than last, and utility regulatory officials are saying that gas use among customers is up, while bills are up by 34%-38% over last year.  

Utilities are paying high prices for gas because demand has been higher and consumption rates at a level that has reduced storage by about 17% over the average of the previous five years.  

In the meantime, there is a great deal of disconnect between cash prices and futures prices for natural gas, with futures trading an increasingly volatile business. While Feb. 6 saw a spike in next-day prices, according to Reuters, Feb. 5 saw natural gas futures fall sharply because of longer-term mild weather forecasts.  

"The futures market appears to be disconnected from key developments occurring in the physical market," Reuters quoted BNP Paribas analyst Teri Viswanath as saying on Feb. 6. "Today we witnessed a marked increase in spot prices for every consuming region, suggesting that utilities might be rationing limited inventories by purchasing gas off the market."

As Dicker noted for The Street: "Low stockpiles caused by sequestration and a rush of domestic exploration and production companies away from natural gas production in favor of shale oil is taking its toll and providing the first real and consistent support of prices since 2007. Suddenly, natural gas markets are vulnerable to price spikes and traders are afraid to be short."

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  • Report this Comment On February 08, 2014, at 2:04 PM, Jim85035 wrote:

    I pray the rest of the year it is record warmth and they can't give the stuff away, dam gold diggers.

  • Report this Comment On February 08, 2014, at 2:42 PM, Dalestrnad wrote:

    Forget Warmer Weather:

    There are over 10 years of NatGas reserves ready to use, and easy ability to replenish the winter draw. We also have over 100 years of NatGas still in the ground to be drilled.

    What really happened is institutions pumped & dumped Natural Gas contracts using the cold weather to hype prices.

    Analyst are calling for $4.10-$4.50btu average for 2014.

    NatGas prices are still to high.Prices wont come back until air conditioners start running again.

    In the near/short term NatGas will continue to fall. Even utility companies are already sending letters to customers saying that they are reducing prices by over a dollar.

    NatGas trading got its head cut off and its flopping like a chixen. Get out of NatGas short term before all gains are lost.

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