Aeropostale Hopes for a Better Future

After a harsh fall a week ago, Aeropostale bounces back -- but it's still getting hammered.

Mar 19, 2014 at 4:30PM

Like an angel waiting in the shadows, the market has heard our cries and come to our aid. When Aeropostale (NYSE:ARO) fell last week, a collective wave of shock spread. We wondered aloud, "Just because this poor company has falling sales, lacks a vision for the future, and can't connect with today's teen market, does it deserve to be punished?" Yesterday, all was put right, and Aeropostale bounced back, rising 5.5%, and putting it right back where it belongs -- down 20% during the past week.

Aeropostale falls behind, gets left behind
All fashion brands face down one issue each and every day -- being popular. To be a successful company, you have to be able to maintain popularity even when the market pulls back from fashion. Companies like Gap (NYSE:GPS) have been able to come back from the brink, but the damage of falling out of favor -- as Gap did in the mid-2000s -- is lasting and real.

Right now, Aeropostale is yesterday's news. In 2013, the company's comparable-store sales fell 15% as teens fled. Compare that to middle-of-the-road Gap, which managed to at least boost comparable-store sales by 2%. Both brands paled in comparison to the popularity of Urban Outfitter's (NASDAQ:URBN) Anthropologie line.

Anthropologie managed to rip customers out of the desperate, sweaty grasp of Aeropostale, increasing comparable sales by 10% last quarter. That helped lead Urban Outfitters to a record level of net income for the year, while Aeropostale lost $141.8 million during 2013. 

Private equity takes an interest in Aeropostale
It seems like whenever things are at their bleakest in retail, there's always a helping hand that suddenly appears. Sometimes, that hand is skeletal, and the other hand is holding a scythe; but help is help, right? Aeropostale's savior has come in the form of Sycamore Partners, which has extended a $150 million loan to the company. 

During the past two years, Sycamore has acquired other retailers, including Talbots and Hot Topic, so its interest in Aeropostale is not overly surprising. In addition to getting its money back, Sycamore Partners has the option to purchase preferred stock. If Sycamore opts in, it will end up owning 12.3% of Aeropostale, putting it well on the way to a much bigger role.

The future of Aeropostale
Right now, Aeropostale doesn't need to worry about what happens with ownership. Instead, it needs to buckle down and make consumers happy, or, at the very least, interested. Aeropostale's focus in 2014 is on building a strong foundation that it can then expand on. It's focusing on basics, and a handful of new lines to entice shoppers. It's a better plan than the business has had recently, and it needs to work. Aeopostale may not be on its last leg, but it doesn't have three legs left, either.

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Andrew Marder has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Urban Outfitters. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

A Financial Plan on an Index Card

Keeping it simple.

Aug 7, 2015 at 11:26AM

Two years ago, University of Chicago professor Harold Pollack wrote his entire financial plan on an index card.

It blew up. People loved the idea. Financial advice is often intentionally complicated. Obscurity lets advisors charge higher fees. But the most important parts are painfully simple. Here's how Pollack put it:

The card came out of chat I had regarding what I view as the financial industry's basic dilemma: The best investment advice fits on an index card. A commenter asked for the actual index card. Although I was originally speaking in metaphor, I grabbed a pen and one of my daughter's note cards, scribbled this out in maybe three minutes, snapped a picture with my iPhone, and the rest was history.

More advisors and investors caught onto the idea and started writing their own financial plans on a single index card.

I love the exercise, because it makes you think about what's important and forces you to be succinct.

So, here's my index-card financial plan:


Everything else is details. 

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