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Why Tableau Software Inc Will Fly to $95

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While Fools should generally take the opinion of Wall Street with a grain of salt, it's not a bad idea to take a closer look at particularly stock-shaking upgrades and downgrades -- just in case their reasoning behind the call makes sense.

What: Shares of Tableau Software Inc (NYSE: DATA  ) climbed 4% on Tuesday after Baird upgraded the business analytics technologist from neutral to outperform.

So what: Along with the upgrade, analyst Steven Ashley planted a price target of $95 on the stock, representing about 25% worth of upside to yesterday's close. So while momentum traders might be turned off by Tableau's sharp share-price pullback in recent weeks, Ashley's call could reflect a growing sense on Wall Street that its growth potential is becoming too cheap to pass up.

Now what: According to Baird, Tableau's long-term risk/reward trade-off is highly attractive at this point. "Being ranked No.1 in 2014 Gartner MQ for 'Ability to Execute' should only further enhance market awareness," Ashley said. "Partners continue to believe Tableau has only scratched the surface of its market opportunity. The upgrade is really not a call on 1Q14, which we expect to be a normal/strong quarter that should match Investor expectations." Of course, with Tableau shares still up more than 80% from their 52-week lows and trading at a lofty price-to-sales of 20, I'd hold out for an even wider margin of safety before jumping in.  

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  • Report this Comment On April 03, 2014, at 10:20 PM, ShadowStockBlog wrote:

    Sell Tableau (DATA) and buy Datawatch (DWCH)

    Just released today comparing Datawatch (DWCH) versus Tableau (DATA). Its clear once the market understands the significant differences. Stock price will follow tiny DWCH versus DATA.

  • Report this Comment On April 03, 2014, at 10:29 PM, ShadowStockBlog wrote:

    forget Tableau nose bleed valuations.

    Datawatch desktop is a software solution created by merging two data analytic thought leaders, Datawatch (DWCH) and Panopticon.

    The story is quickly unfolding. A software solution created by merging two data analytic thought leaders, Datawatch (DWCH) and Panopticon. Two quarters ago by smartly using stock as currency Datawatch purchased data visualization software developer Panopticon. 2013 Panopticon received the first ever Gartner cool vendor award focused on in-memory computing. The result is creation of the only beginning to end self service BI driven by visual data discovery. Tableau (DATA), QlikTech (QLIK), Spotfire (TIBX) or Microstategy (MSTR) cannot offer such important thorough functionality without a complete architecture overhaul.

    Datawatch's self service data analytic solution is offering true data democracy regardless of the data's source. Data silos locked in unstructured, semi structured or structured formats can be opened when needed by the non technical end user.

    Zero outside involvement is needed for the functional expert to access as needed arcane data sources to innovate or discover new knowledge. Datawatch offers true beginning to end self service functionality along with fast in memory / real time visual data discovery. These are just a few of the many competitive advantages.

    As a potential DWCH investor the following are worth noting, aggressive insider buying over the past 2 years with no sales, tiny float, investing opportunity day one with a proven solution now expanded with new technology to the fast growing big data or any data for visual discovery

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Brian Pacampara

I take a look at big 10% moves, as well as stock-shaking analyst calls, on a daily basis for The Fool. While I don't believe in active trading, closely monitoring Mr. Market's mood swings can help identify long-term opportunities.

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8/31/2015 4:01 PM
DATA $94.17 Down -2.99 -3.08%
Tableau Software CAPS Rating: ***