Will Alcohol Give Starbucks a Buzz or a Hangover?

Starbucks recently announced it would be expanding the sale of alcohol in nearly 40 stores by year-end. As competition builds within the coffee segment, which now includes chains like Panera Bread and McDonald's, should Starbucks really be focusing on expanding alcohol sales? Long term, will alcohol prove to be a success or failure for Starbucks?

Apr 7, 2014 at 12:12PM

In 2013, Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) was the leading restaurant chain within the coffee category with 10.6% sales growth over 2012. A big driver was the more than 3 billion customers visiting Starbucks annually at the company's 20,000 global locations, including nearly 11,500 in the United States.

Coffee has never been more popular. Direct competitors to Starbucks, like Dunkin' Brands' (NASDAQ:DNKN) Dunkin' Donuts, are now being joined by historically less-direct competitors such as Panera Bread (NASDAQ:PNRA) and McDonald's (NYSE:MCD).

Recently, Starbucks announced it would be expanding the sale of alcohol at select U.S. locations. Long term, however, will selling alcohol give Starbucks a buzz or a hangover when you factor in the effect on the company overall?

Tmf Blog Network

By Andrés Nieto Porras, via Wikimedia Commons

Starbucks to expand the sale of alcohol 
Starbucks has been relatively slow to expand the sale of alcohol. The chain first tested selling alcohol in a single Seattle store in October 2010. Since then, the company has expanded sales across just a couple dozen stores in Illinois, Washington, California, Georgia, Oregon, and Washington, D.C. 

Current plans by the company state that alcohol sales will generally follow an evening program of strictly beer and wine options after 4 p.m. at select locations near nightlife locations.

Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz recently commented that the typical customer spends about $5 per visit, and that beer and wine sales could easily double that average. Furthermore, the company suggested that alcohol sales could nearly double Starbucks' current market value to $100 billion -- which would push the current stock price past $130 per share.

Tmf Blog Network

Map of states where Starbucks currently sells alcohol.  Credit: diymaps.net

Does Starbucks really need alcohol?
In Starbucks' first quarter, consolidated revenue increased 12% to $4.2 billion; global same-store sales grew 5%, mainly driven by store traffic.

However, the real hidden gems in Starbucks' growth potential are its Evolution Fresh and Teavana subsidiaries that the company recently bought.

Starbucks spent $70 million on a state-of-the-art juicer so that Evolution Fresh could quadruple production to meet the demands of the super-premium juice category. In addition, Starbucks just announced a Teavana partnership with Oprah Winfrey. The talk-show icon will have her own Chai Tea line starting at the end of April.

With intentions to continue expanding juicing capabilities, as well as potential plans to create a combined concept of Starbucks/Teavana store locations, the possibilities are already endless.

Four potential problems alcohol brings to the table
Selling alcohol may alienate some existing customers. There's a host of reasons that could keep customers away: religious beliefs, negative alcohol experiences, parents forbidding their children, and more conservative customers who prefer to avoid places where alcohol is sold.

Brand compatibility will also be called into question. For years Starbucks has been known as a coffee cafe. Many casual customers are still not aware that Starbucks even owns Evolution Fresh and Teavana. Adding alcohol to the mix may confuse customers on where Starbucks is heading both as a business and a brand.

Traditionally Starbucks has been an outlet for younger job-seekers, especially those in high school or college. Alcohol introduces issues that vary from state to state. These may include  minimum age requirements to sell alcohol, training current employees to sell alcohol and/or receive bartending licenses, and the increased responsibilities that each location selling alcohol will now have.

However, the fourth and possibly most serious potential problem is alcohol poisoning. Studies have shown that the combination of caffeine and alcohol impairs judgment more than drinking alcohol alone.

In recent years, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has cracked down on this mix in popular drinks including the Four Loko, which is said to be equal to approximately two cups of coffee and at least four beers. Caffeine is a stimulant and alcohol is a depressant, and the unpredictable combination has led the company that started making the Four Loko drink in 2005 to recently halt all production.

Tmf Blog Network

The future of Starbucks? By Lourdes Cardenal, via Wikimedia Commons

Opening the door to the competition?
Dunkin' Donuts has traditionally been seen as Starbucks' closest competitor. However, in terms of size and customer leverage, Dunkin' Donuts is still mainly an East Coast U.S. chain with a market cap that is nearly 10 times less than Starbucks. It  sells coffee first and everything else on the menu second.

Long term, Panera Bread and McDonald's may offer real threats to Starbucks overall.

Panera Bread's menu offers a diverse selection of sandwiches, pastries, pastas, soups, and salads. It's slowly adding items you commonly see at a Starbucks, like latte's, caffe mochas, cappuccinos, and espressos.

Similarly, McDonald's has led all fast-food chains for years during breakfast hours. In the past, it wouldn't be out of the ordinary to see drive-thru customers ordering their breakfast at McDonald's while having a Starbucks coffee in their cup holder. Now that McDonald's is on a mission to increase its market share during breakfast with an improved coffee lineup, that trend is disappearing.

Bottom line
Starbucks has been making great business decisions for years. From its acquisitions of Evolution Fresh and Teavana to its success in implementing mobile payments (which has evolved into a $1 billion a year customer-loyalty program), Starbucks appears to be unstoppable.

However, there is a strong chance that there could be problems and potential backlash considering what alcohol sales could do for the company, its customers, and its shareholders.

6 stock picks poised for incredible growth. Is Starbucks one of them?
They said it couldn't be done. But David Gardner has proved them wrong time, and time, and time again with stock returns like 926%, 2,239%, and 4,371%. In fact, just recently one of his favorite stocks became a 100-bagger. And he's ready to do it again. You can uncover his scientific approach to crushing the market and his carefully chosen six picks for ultimate growth instantly, because he's making this premium report free for you today. Click here now for access.

Michael Carter has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends McDonald's, Panera Bread, and Starbucks. The Motley Fool owns shares of McDonald's, Panera Bread, and Starbucks. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

1 Key Step to Get Rich

Our mission at The Motley Fool is to help the world invest better. Whether that’s helping people overcome their fear of stocks all the way to offering clear and successful guidance on complicated-sounding options trades, we can help.

Feb 1, 2016 at 4:54PM

To be perfectly clear, this is not a get-rich action that my Foolish colleagues and I came up with. But we wouldn't argue with the approach.

A 2015 Business Insider article titled, "11 websites to bookmark if you want to get rich" rated The Motley Fool as the #1 place online to get smarter about investing.

"The Motley Fool aims to build a strong investment community, which it does by providing a variety of resources: the website, books, a newspaper column, a radio [show], and [newsletters]," wrote (the clearly insightful and talented) money reporter Kathleen Elkins. "This site has something for every type of investor, from basic lessons for beginners to investing commentary on mutual funds, stock sectors, and value for the more advanced."

Our mission at The Motley Fool is to help the world invest better, so it's nice to receive that kind of recognition. It lets us know we're doing our job.

Whether that's helping the entirely uninitiated overcome their fear of stocks all the way to offering clear and successful guidance on complicated-sounding options trades, we want to provide our readers with a boost to the next step on their journey to financial independence.

Articles and beyond

As Business Insider wrote, there are a number of resources available from the Fool for investors of all levels and styles.

In addition to the dozens of free articles we publish every day on our website, I want to highlight two must-see spots in your tour of fool.com.

For the beginning investor

Investing can seem like a Big Deal to those who have yet to buy their first stock. Many investment professionals try to infuse the conversation with jargon in order to deter individual investors from tackling it on their own (and to justify their often sky-high fees).

But the individual investor can beat the market. The real secret to investing is that it doesn't take tons of money, endless hours, or super-secret formulas that only experts possess.

That's why we created a best-selling guide that walks investors-to-be through everything they need to know to get started. And because we're so dedicated to our mission, we've made that available for free.

If you're just starting out (or want to help out someone who is), go to www.fool.com/beginners, drop in your email address, and you'll be able to instantly access the quick-read guide ... for free.

For the listener

Whether it's on the stationary exercise bike or during my daily commute, I spend a lot of time going nowhere. But I've found a way to make that time benefit me.

The Motley Fool offers five podcasts that I refer to as "binge-worthy financial information."

Motley Fool Money features a team of our analysts discussing the week's top business and investing stories, interviews, and an inside look at the stocks on our radar. It's also featured on several dozen radio stations across the country.

The hosts of Motley Fool Answers challenge the conventional wisdom on life's biggest financial issues to reveal what you really need to know to make smart money moves.

David Gardner, co-founder of The Motley Fool, is among the most respected and trusted sources on investing. And he's the host of Rule Breaker Investing, in which he shares his insights into today's most innovative and disruptive companies ... and how to profit from them.

Market Foolery is our daily look at stocks in the news, as well as the top business and investing stories.

And Industry Focus offers a deeper dive into a specific industry and the stories making headlines. Healthcare, technology, energy, consumer goods, and other industries take turns in the spotlight.

They're all informative, entertaining, and eminently listenable ... and I don't say that simply because the hosts all sit within a Nerf-gun shot of my desk. Rule Breaker Investing and Answers contain timeless advice, so you might want to go back to the beginning with those. The other three take their cues from the market, so you'll want to listen to the most recent first. All are available at www.fool.com/podcasts.

But wait, there's more

The book and the podcasts – both free ... both awesome – also come with an ongoing benefit. If you download the book, or if you enter your email address in the magical box at the podcasts page, you'll get ongoing market coverage sent straight to your inbox.

Investor Insights is valuable and enjoyable coverage of everything from macroeconomic events to investing strategies to our analyst's travels around the world to find the next big thing. Also free.

Get the book. Listen to a podcast. Sign up for Investor Insights. I'm not saying that any of those things will make you rich ... but Business Insider seems to think so.


Compare Brokers